La escuela de los momios

RAAL La Louvière v Dender

Inicio: 2026-04-06 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Predicción 49.73%2.01momio equitativo
EV -3.03%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -3.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.05%49.75%49.67%51.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.731.861.861.9557.80%53.70%53.76%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dender (Visitante)

Predicción 23.03%4.34momio equitativo
EV +5.23%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.077%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.57

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.23%22.98%23.08%24.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.084.054.5727.78%24.53%24.69%21.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.25%3.67momio equitativo
EV -3.28%
Ventaja -0.924%
Kelly -1.29%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.69%27.27%27.25%28.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.373.403.5534.72%29.69%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 51.06%EV -5.51%E -2.90%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.57I 21.88%NM 21.23%EV +5.23%E +1.14%K +1.46%G +0.077%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-06 13:55
ATG (SE)1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.02%E -2.08%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.163%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Svenska Spel1.93I 51.81%NM 50.12%EV -4.02%E -2.08%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.24%EV +0.163%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 13:50
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 50.58%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV +0.163%E +0.037%K +0.049%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.21%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.989%E -0.230%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.11%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.03%EV -0.989%E -0.230%K -0.300%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 13:55
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:50
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:50
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.12%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 13:50
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.31%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.90%EV -2.14%E -0.503%K -0.658%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:30
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.44%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:45
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.44%EV -6.01%E -3.18%K -6.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.86%EV -3.28%E -0.924%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-06 13:44
Suprabets1.86I 53.76%NM 50.29%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.43%EV -7.09%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 13:46
Marathon Bet1.84I 54.35%NM 50.68%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.28%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 13:55
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 13:50
Unibet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.05%EV -7.50%E -4.03%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.16%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.79%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 13:55
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:50
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 50.18%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -3.29%E -0.784%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.71%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:55
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 12:49
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -6.00%E -1.74%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 08:00
BetUS1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:52
BetAnything1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.51%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 13:48
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.98%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 13:50
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.90%EV -9.49%E -5.22%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -5.59%E -1.36%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 13:55
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.97%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -6.74%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:45
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.97%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.19%EV -6.74%E -1.67%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.84%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 13:45
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -3.03%E -1.55%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 05:59
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 08:40
Coolbet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.82%EV -6.51%E -3.46%K -7.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 05:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 05:05
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -5.02%E -2.63%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 08:25
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.64%E -1.33%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 07:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.57%EV -7.01%E -3.75%K -8.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -7.37%E -2.17%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 08:39
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:20
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:15
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:15
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-05 20:15
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -9.00%E -4.92%K -10.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 05:05
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:55
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:55
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -7.90%E -1.97%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 13:50
NetBet (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.18%EV -11.98%E -6.77%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.49%EV -9.05%E -2.29%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -11.45%E -3.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-06 13:50
Betclic (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.35%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 27.43%EV -9.55%E -2.88%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 13:33
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.28%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.25%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.48%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:35
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.41%EV -10.49%E -5.83%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.79%EV -12.82%E -4.00%K -5.83%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 13:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 49.67%EV -12.97%E -7.41%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.29%EV -10.20%E -2.62%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -15.54%E -5.01%K -7.40%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-06 13:55
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 48.99%EV -8.00%E -4.33%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.54%EV -11.35%E -2.95%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.09%E -3.06%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 49.02%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -13.65%E -3.64%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-06 08:00
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 48.86%EV -8.50%E -4.62%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.30%EV -14.80%E -4.00%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.84%EV -8.73%E -2.61%K -3.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 08:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.97%E -8.07%K -19.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.09%EV -17.11%E -4.75%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.86%EV -21.53%E -7.48%K -11.45%G +0.000%20.3%2026-04-06 13:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:55
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 50.95%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.97%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.08%1.2%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-04-06 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.5%2026-04-06 13:50
Smarkets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.45%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.13%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.43%2.7%2026-04-06 13:55
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 50.53%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.17%3.1%2026-04-06 13:45