Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

RAAL La Louvière v Club Brugge

Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:15 UTC

Final: RAAL La Louvière 1–4 Club Brugge

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Prediction 11.74%8.52fair odd
EV +11.50%
Edge +1.21%
Kelly +1.35%
Growth +0.155%

assuming max odds 9.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.12%11.77%11.73%13.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.508.088.009.5015.38%12.37%12.50%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Club Brugge (Visit)

Prediction 70.00%1.43fair odd
EV -4.10%
Edge -2.99%
Kelly -11.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.03%69.92%70.17%71.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.321.331.3781.30%75.65%75.19%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.26%5.48fair odd
EV +0.450%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.15%18.32%18.10%20.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.964.955.5022.22%20.18%20.20%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: RAAL La Louvière (Local): 11.74%; Club Brugge (Visit): 70.00%; Draw: 18.26%. For RAAL La Louvière (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.52. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.50%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +11.50%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.155%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.66%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 15:45
ATG (SE)🎯9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV +11.50%E +1.21%K +1.35%G +0.155%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.66%EV -4.80%E -3.53%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-10 15:45
Pinnacle🎯9.15I 10.93%NM 10.53%EV +7.39%E +0.808%K +0.907%G +0.067%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.92%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.49I 18.21%NM 17.55%EV +0.267%E +0.049%K +0.059%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-10 16:10
Grosvenor🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.52%EV +5.63%E +0.625%K +0.704%G +0.040%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.33%EV -10.51%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 15:45
Unibet (NL)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +5.63%E +0.625%K +0.704%G +0.040%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -13.25%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:05
Casumo🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +5.63%E +0.625%K +0.704%G +0.040%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -13.25%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +5.63%E +0.625%K +0.704%G +0.040%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -13.25%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:05
betPARX🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +5.63%E +0.625%K +0.704%G +0.040%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.88%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -13.25%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-10 16:04
Tipico (DE)🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.39%EV +5.63%E +0.625%K +0.704%G +0.040%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.96%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -3.20%E -0.604%K -0.745%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-10 16:14
betano_uk🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.38%EV +5.63%E +0.625%K +0.704%G +0.040%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.84%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -4.12%E -0.784%K -0.969%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:13
Betr (AU)🎯8.75I 11.43%NM 10.76%EV +2.69%E +0.308%K +0.348%G +0.009%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.31%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -4.12%E -0.784%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:14
1xBet🎯8.66I 11.55%NM 11.10%EV +1.64%E +0.189%K +0.214%G +0.004%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.19%EV -4.10%E -2.99%K -11.08%G +0.000%5.14I 19.46%NM 18.71%EV -6.13%E -1.19%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-10 16:14
Coolbet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV -0.240%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -4.12%E -0.784%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 16:14
Bet Victor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.240%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 16:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.00%EV -0.240%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.30%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 16:14
NordicBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -0.240%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -14.16%E -3.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:05
Betsson🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV -0.240%E -0.028%K -0.032%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.15%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -14.16%E -3.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-10 16:05
Coral🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.71%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.36%EV +0.450%E +0.082%K +0.100%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-10 16:10
Fanatics🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.81%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.02%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.450%E +0.082%K +0.100%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-10 16:10
DraftKings🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.77%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.29%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -4.12%E -0.784%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-10 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.48%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -5.03%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:05
BetOnline.ag🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.48%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -5.03%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:05
BetAnything🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.63%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.48%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.89%EV -5.03%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-10 16:05
888sport🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:05
William Hill🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.52%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.20%EV -12.33%E -2.57%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-10 16:05
betfred_uk🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.30%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 16:14
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.42%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.71%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -15.99%E -3.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 15:45
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.57%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.81%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 16:05
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.31%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.57%EV -7.60%E -5.76%K -23.75%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -17.81%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 16:05
LiveScore Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -15.99%E -3.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Virgin Bet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.24%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.20%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -15.99%E -3.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.20%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.90%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -17.81%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-10 15:45
Paddy Power🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.01%EV -6.11%E -0.764%K -0.873%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.45%EV -12.50%E -10.00%K -50.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.54%EV -13.25%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-10 16:05
BetMGM🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -9.04%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.450%E +0.082%K +0.100%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 16:10
BetUS🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.02%EV -9.04%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.06%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.03%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 16:14
PlayUp🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -9.04%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -17.81%E -3.96%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-10 16:10
SportsBet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 11.43%EV -9.04%E -1.17%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 69.73%EV -11.10%E -8.74%K -41.11%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.84%EV -14.16%E -3.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV -11.98%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.58%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -4.12%E -0.784%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-10 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV -11.98%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.46%EV -5.50%E -4.07%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV -5.03%E -0.967%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-10 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -11.98%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.74%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -4.12%E -0.784%K -0.969%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-10 16:10
theScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -11.98%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.20%E -4.63%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -8.68%E -1.74%K -2.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-10 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 11.66%EV -11.98%E -1.60%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.94%EV -12.50%E -10.00%K -50.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.40%EV -13.25%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-10 16:05
NetBet (FR)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.25%EV -14.91%E -2.06%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 68.85%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.90%EV -14.16%E -3.01%K -3.83%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (FR)🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.04%EV -15.50%E -2.15%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 70.46%EV -13.90%E -11.30%K -60.43%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.51%EV -9.60%E -1.94%K -2.43%G +0.000%15.4%2026-10-10 16:10
BoyleSports🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -17.84%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -6.90%E -5.19%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -13.25%E -2.79%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-10 16:00
Betclic (FR)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -17.84%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.08%EV -9.70%E -7.52%K -33.45%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.19%EV -10.51%E -2.14%K -2.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 16:14
Sky Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -17.84%E -2.55%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -15.99%E -3.48%K -4.44%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-10 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -20.78%E -3.08%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.38%EV -8.30%E -6.34%K -26.77%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.15%EV -3.20%E -0.604%K -0.745%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 16:10
Winamax (FR)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -23.71%E -3.65%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.73%EV -9.00%E -6.92%K -30.00%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.52%EV -6.86%E -1.34%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-10 16:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.20%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.94%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.86%0.0%2026-10-10 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.20%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.94%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.86%0.0%2026-10-10 16:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76%0.5%2026-10-10 16:10
Matchbook◎9.80I 10.20%NM 10.15%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.09%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.76%0.5%2026-10-10 16:10
Smarkets◎9.40I 10.64%NM 10.54%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.78%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%1.0%2026-10-10 16:10
Kalshi◎10.00I 10.00%NM 9.90%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.29%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-10-10 16:10