L’École des cotes

RAAL La Louvière v Cercle Brugge KSV

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-09 14:00 UTC

Score final : RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge KSV

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Prévision 42.69%2.34cote équitable
EV -0.950%
Avantage -0.410%
Kelly -0.720%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.20%42.66%42.68%43.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.3250.00%45.78%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.87%3.14cote équitable
EV +0.400%
Avantage +0.127%
Kelly +0.186%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.49%31.82%31.75%32.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.952.953.1538.02%33.88%33.90%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.43%3.93cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -0.882%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.49%25.53%25.57%27.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.533.583.8033.33%28.29%27.93%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -0.950%E -0.410%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV +0.400%E +0.127%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:44
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -0.950%E -0.410%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV +0.400%E +0.127%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:44
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -1.19%E -0.385%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -1.19%E -0.385%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -1.19%E -0.385%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:44
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.39%EV -2.23%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.52%EV -1.83%E -0.595%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 13:49
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -6.50%E -2.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -9.71%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -6.50%E -2.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -9.71%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:44
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:44
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:44
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:44
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:35
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:53
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:49
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -14.80%E -4.42%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Suprabets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -7.35%E -3.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.02%E -1.68%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:33
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:49
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -16.07%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:44
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -17.34%E -5.34%K -7.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -17.34%E -5.34%K -7.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.38%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -6.29%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.93%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:54
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.93%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:54
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.35%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:52
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 13:34
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:54
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.07%EV -8.95%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:49
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:35
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.84%EV -11.62%E -5.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.45%EV -10.12%E -3.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -12.26%E -3.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 13:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:49
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 13:44
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:49
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:34
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -16.07%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.20%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -16.17%E -6.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.47%EV -23.70%E -7.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-09 13:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.98%3.23I 30.96%NM 31.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.01%-0.1%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:54