La escuela de los momios

RAAL La Louvière v Cercle Brugge KSV

Inicio: 2026-05-09 14:00 UTC

Final: RAAL La Louvière 4–1 Cercle Brugge KSV

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

RAAL La Louvière (Local)

Predicción 42.69%2.34momio equitativo
EV -0.950%
Ventaja -0.410%
Kelly -0.720%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.20%42.66%42.68%43.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.182.202.3250.00%45.78%45.45%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Cercle Brugge KSV (Visitante)

Predicción 31.87%3.14momio equitativo
EV +0.400%
Ventaja +0.127%
Kelly +0.186%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.49%31.82%31.75%32.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.952.953.1538.02%33.88%33.90%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.43%3.93momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -0.882%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.49%25.53%25.57%27.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.533.583.8033.33%28.29%27.93%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -0.950%E -0.410%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV +0.400%E +0.127%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:44
ATG (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.68%EV -0.950%E -0.410%K -0.720%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.70%EV +0.400%E +0.127%K +0.186%G +0.001%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.63%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:44
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -1.19%E -0.385%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.80%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-09 13:54
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -1.19%E -0.385%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.73%EV -2.66%E -1.17%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.69%EV -1.19%E -0.385%K -0.569%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.58%EV -12.26%E -3.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 13:44
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.39%EV -2.23%E -0.974%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.52%EV -1.83%E -0.595%K -0.881%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.09%EV -5.39%E -1.45%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-09 13:49
LowVig.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -6.50%E -2.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -9.71%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.19I 45.66%NM 42.83%EV -6.50%E -2.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -9.71%E -2.74%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:45
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:44
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:45
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:44
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:44
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.89%EV -4.79%E -2.15%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.63%EV -2.79%E -0.914%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:44
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:35
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:35
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:35
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:53
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:49
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:49
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -4.38%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -14.80%E -4.42%K -6.30%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Suprabets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.05%EV -7.35%E -3.39%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -5.02%E -1.68%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.60%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 13:33
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-09 13:49
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -6.93%E -3.18%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -16.07%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-09 13:44
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -17.34%E -5.34%K -7.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.83%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.49%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%EV -17.34%E -5.34%K -7.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Marathon Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.38%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.72%EV -6.29%E -2.14%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.93%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:54
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.89%EV -3.94%E -1.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.28%EV -6.93%E -2.37%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -7.17%E -1.96%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 13:54
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -3.35%E -0.882%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.64%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 13:52
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 13:34
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -10.98%E -3.14%K -4.39%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:54
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 13:34
Betclic (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.07%EV -8.95%E -2.50%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-09 13:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:49
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.63%E -1.23%K -1.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 13:34
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -6.07%E -2.76%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:35
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.90%EV -8.21%E -3.82%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -9.16%E -3.21%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-09 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 42.84%EV -11.62%E -5.62%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.45%EV -10.12%E -3.59%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.71%EV -12.26%E -3.55%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 13:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -5.90%E -1.59%K -2.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-09 13:49
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -13.53%E -3.98%K -5.64%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 13:44
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:49
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -10.34%E -4.93%K -9.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%EV -8.44%E -2.34%K -3.25%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-09 13:34
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.25%EV -12.48%E -6.09%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.25%EV -16.07%E -4.87%K -6.99%G +0.000%15.4%2026-05-09 13:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.20%EV -14.61%E -7.31%K -14.61%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 31.33%EV -16.17%E -6.15%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.47%EV -23.70%E -7.90%K -11.85%G +0.000%21.4%2026-05-09 13:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.98%3.23I 30.96%NM 31.01%3.85I 25.97%NM 26.01%-0.1%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.75%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.49%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.76%0.8%2026-05-09 13:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:55
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:50
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.61%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.01%1.2%2026-05-09 13:54