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Patro Eisden Maasmechelen v Beerschot Wilrijk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (Local)
Prediction 26.27%3.81fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.397%
Kelly -0.542%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.88%26.30%26.27%27.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.433.403.7530.77%29.19%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Beerschot Wilrijk (Visit)
Prediction 45.96%2.18fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.95%45.93%45.96%47.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.052.082.1253.19%48.83%48.08%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.77%3.60fair odd
EV -5.57%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.75%27.77%27.77%28.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.283.303.4031.75%30.46%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (Local): 26.27%; Beerschot Wilrijk (Visit): 45.96%; Draw: 27.77%. For Patro Eisden Maasmechelen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -1.49%E -0.397%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -2.80%E -0.758%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.37%E -2.72%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -10.84%E -5.59%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -5.57%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:26 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.13%EV -2.57%E -1.21%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.38%E -5.32%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -3.49%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 18:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -3.49%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.70%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.18%EV -3.49%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.35%E -2.53%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -12.00%E -3.58%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.23%EV -4.41%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.09%EV -5.33%E -2.59%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -11.13%E -3.48%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -13.31%E -4.03%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.55%EV -13.60%E -7.23%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -9.74%E -3.00%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -6.25%E -3.06%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.59%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.95%EV -6.25%E -3.06%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.46%EV -12.51%E -3.97%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-23 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.