The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Lommel SK v Gent

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 17:30 UTC

Final: Lommel SK 2–0 Gent

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Lommel SK (Local)

Prediction 24.55%4.07fair odd
EV +10.48%
Edge +2.33%
Kelly +3.00%
Growth +0.314%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.61%24.47%24.61%25.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.873.804.5029.41%25.83%26.32%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gent (Visit)

Prediction 50.32%1.99fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.49%50.36%50.28%53.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.821.851.9059.52%55.06%54.20%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.12%3.98fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -0.716%
Kelly -0.965%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%25.17%25.11%26.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.643.653.8729.85%27.48%27.40%25.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Lommel SK (Local): 24.55%; Gent (Visit): 50.32%; Draw: 25.12%. For Lommel SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV +10.48%E +2.33%K +3.00%G +0.314%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.26%EV -3.27%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-01 17:25
Svenska Spel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.61%EV +10.48%E +2.33%K +3.00%G +0.314%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.14%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.26%EV -3.27%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-01 17:25
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV +4.35%E +1.02%K +1.34%G +0.058%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.45%EV -10.42%E -5.86%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 17:25
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV +4.35%E +1.02%K +1.34%G +0.058%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.45%EV -10.42%E -5.86%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 17:25
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV +4.35%E +1.02%K +1.34%G +0.058%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.45%EV -10.42%E -5.86%K -13.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 17:25
1xBet🎯4.21I 23.75%NM 22.80%EV +3.36%E +0.799%K +1.05%G +0.035%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.88%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.32%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV +0.664%E +0.162%K +0.214%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV +0.664%E +0.162%K +0.214%G +0.001%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.09%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 17:25
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.20%EV +0.664%E +0.162%K +0.214%G +0.001%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.42%EV -10.93%E -6.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 17:10
Unibet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +0.664%E +0.162%K +0.214%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -12.44%E -7.15%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 17:25
TABtouch🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.09%EV +0.664%E +0.162%K +0.214%G +0.001%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.04%EV -12.44%E -7.15%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 17:25
Pinnacle🎯4.04I 24.75%NM 23.98%EV -0.810%E -0.200%K -0.266%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.99%EV -4.39%E -2.31%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 25.03%EV -2.77%E -0.716%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.86%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.03%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.11%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 17:25
Tipico (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 17:20
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -12.94%E -7.48%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -12.94%E -7.48%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -12.94%E -7.48%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.23%EV -1.79%E -0.448%K -0.597%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.00%EV -13.95%E -8.16%K -19.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.77%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 17:25
Coral🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 17:20
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.19%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.99%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 17:19
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 17:00
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 17:00
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%EV -4.25%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.93%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%EV -14.58%E -4.29%K -6.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 16:58
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -5.47%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.39%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.13%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 17:24
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.46%EV -5.47%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.09%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Neds🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.67%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 17:25
888sport🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 17:05
888sport (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 17:05
William Hill🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 17:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -6.70%E -1.76%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.62%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 17:05
Marathon Bet🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 24.60%EV -7.19%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -4.89%E -2.59%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -4.89%E -2.59%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:25
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.80%EV -4.89%E -2.59%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.93%EV -5.39%E -2.87%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 17:25
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:25
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.90%E -3.73%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:24
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -7.93%E -2.11%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.42%E -5.23%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.97%EV -9.16%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.68%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.34%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 17:25
NetBet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 23.75%EV -9.16%E -2.47%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.79%EV -12.94%E -7.48%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-01 17:20
theScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.39%EV -10.38%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.56%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.05%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 17:25
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -10.38%E -2.85%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.72%EV -8.41%E -4.62%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.55%EV -5.89%E -3.15%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-01 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.45%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.79%EV -7.40%E -4.02%K -8.81%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 17:20
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -7.91%E -4.32%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 17:25
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.93%E -6.82%K -15.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 17:25
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -11.61%E -3.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.65%EV -11.43%E -6.49%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -15.83%E -4.73%K -6.74%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-01 17:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 24.14%EV -12.84%E -3.62%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 51.02%EV -15.46%E -9.20%K -22.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.84%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 17:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 24.85%EV -13.33%E -3.78%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -10.93%E -6.17%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 25.58%EV -13.82%E -4.03%K -5.69%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -16.52%E -4.86%K -6.88%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.49%EV -11.43%E -6.49%K -15.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-01 17:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-11-01 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.71%1.95I 51.28%NM 51.07%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%0.4%2026-11-01 17:25
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.75%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%1.0%2026-11-01 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-11-01 17:20
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.56%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.74%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.70%1.1%2026-11-01 17:25
Smarkets◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.82%1.9%2026-11-01 17:25

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.