L’École des cotes

Leuven v Westerlo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Leuven (Local)

Prévision 40.29%2.48cote équitable
EV -0.081%
Avantage -0.033%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.09%40.29%40.22%40.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.322.4847.62%43.14%43.10%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Westerlo (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.28%3.10cote équitable
EV +0.067%
Avantage +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.15%32.21%32.20%33.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.862.883.1038.46%34.98%34.72%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.43%3.65cote équitable
EV -2.62%
Avantage -0.739%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.65%27.50%27.58%29.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.363.403.5534.72%29.79%29.41%28.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.067%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:39
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -0.579%E -0.188%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -4.82%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 14:50
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:39
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:44
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.30%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -8.38%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:43
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -6.93%E -3.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -4.45%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.93%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:49
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.77%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:45
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.09%EV -0.081%E -0.033%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -5.74%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 14:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:40
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:39
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -2.10%E -0.862%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.62%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 14:55
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -2.10%E -0.862%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.62%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 14:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:19
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:29
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:34
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:21
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.36%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:19
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:54
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:54
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:33
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:19
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:47
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:55
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:55
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:39
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.35%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.97%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.35%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.97%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.07%EV -10.15%E -4.55%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.82%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.67%EV -11.40%E -3.53%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:38
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.35%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 14:35
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -13.59%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 14:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -17.71%E -5.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -12.84%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -12.84%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -14.46%E -5.46%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -16.07%E -6.18%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -21.00%E -7.29%K -11.17%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.09%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-03-07 14:54