La escuela de los momios

Leuven v Westerlo

Inicio: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Leuven (Local)

Predicción 40.29%2.48momio equitativo
EV -0.081%
Ventaja -0.033%
Kelly -0.055%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.09%40.29%40.22%40.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.322.4847.62%43.14%43.10%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Westerlo (Visitante)

Predicción 32.28%3.10momio equitativo
EV +0.067%
Ventaja +0.022%
Kelly +0.032%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.15%32.21%32.20%33.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.862.883.1038.46%34.98%34.72%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.43%3.65momio equitativo
EV -2.62%
Ventaja -0.739%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.65%27.50%27.58%29.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.5534.72%29.79%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Tipico (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.64%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV +0.067%E +0.022%K +0.032%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.21%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:39
Pinnacle2.38I 42.02%NM 40.67%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.43%EV -0.579%E -0.188%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.90%EV -4.82%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 14:50
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:39
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.53%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.02%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.45%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 14:39
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.76%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.16%E -1.05%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:44
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.30%EV -3.48%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.02%EV -8.38%E -2.51%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:43
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.38%EV -6.93%E -3.00%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.52%EV -4.45%E -1.50%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.10%EV -8.93%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:49
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -4.77%E -1.62%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:45
1xBet2.48I 40.32%NM 39.09%EV -0.081%E -0.033%K -0.055%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.20%EV -5.74%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 14:55
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:40
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.24%EV -5.74%E -1.97%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:39
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -2.10%E -0.862%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.62%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 14:55
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.64%EV -2.10%E -0.862%K -1.47%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.22%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.14%EV -2.62%E -0.739%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 14:55
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.09%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.76%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 14:20
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.98%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:19
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 14:29
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:34
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 39.81%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.26%EV -6.39%E -2.20%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 14:34
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.30%E -1.38%K -2.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.08%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-07 14:25
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.52%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 14:21
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:55
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.72%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -7.03%E -2.44%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -4.51%E -1.90%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -7.36%E -2.56%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 14:19
Casumo2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:54
LeoVegas2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:54
betPARX2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -4.11%E -1.73%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.37%E -1.56%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 14:54
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:30
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:33
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-07 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -8.00%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -8.11%E -2.42%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 14:19
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 40.03%EV -6.12%E -2.63%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.99%E -1.14%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:47
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:55
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:55
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.32%E -2.26%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -6.53%E -2.81%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-07 14:54
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.33%E -3.19%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -12.22%E -3.82%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:39
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-07 14:39
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.35%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.97%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.35%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.62%E -3.43%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.97%E -4.83%K -7.13%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 14:39
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.07%EV -10.15%E -4.55%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 32.26%EV -10.59%E -3.82%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.67%EV -11.40%E -3.53%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-07 14:38
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.35%E -4.15%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.74%E -1.98%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-07 14:24
Parions Sport (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.6%2026-03-07 14:35
NetBet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.03%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.02%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.95%EV -13.59%E -4.32%K -6.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 14:49
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 39.47%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.58%EV -11.23%E -4.08%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.95%EV -17.71%E -5.90%K -8.85%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-07 14:39
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -12.84%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:54
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.44%EV -8.14%E -3.57%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -12.84%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -9.48%E -2.87%K -4.12%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-07 14:55
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.89%EV -11.36%E -5.16%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.11%EV -14.46%E -5.46%K -8.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.00%EV -10.85%E -3.34%K -4.82%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-07 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 39.42%EV -15.39%E -7.33%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 31.84%EV -16.07%E -6.18%K -10.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.74%EV -21.00%E -7.29%K -11.17%G +0.000%20.8%2026-03-07 14:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.39%0.6%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-03-07 14:55
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.57%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%1.0%2026-03-07 14:45
Matchbook2.46I 40.65%NM 40.06%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.79%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.15%1.5%2026-03-07 14:55
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.09%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.56%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.35%2.2%2026-03-07 14:54