Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leuven v Royal Antwerp

Kickoff: 2026-03-22 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Leuven (Local)

Prediction 46.66%2.14fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.93%46.63%46.75%48.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.002.002.1054.64%50.06%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Antwerp (Visit)

Prediction 26.10%3.83fair odd
EV -0.808%
Edge -0.213%
Kelly -0.288%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.68%26.13%26.04%27.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.563.603.8032.26%28.11%27.78%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.23%3.67fair odd
EV -1.96%
Edge -0.544%
Kelly -0.754%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%27.24%27.22%28.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.353.303.6034.72%29.86%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leuven (Local): 46.66%; Royal Antwerp (Visit): 26.10%; Draw: 27.23%. For Royal Antwerp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.808%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -3.42%E -0.924%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.57%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%EV -3.42%E -0.924%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 17:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.21%EV -2.01%E -0.956%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.77%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 17:25
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:24
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:25
LeoVegas🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.21%EV -3.41%E -1.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.79%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:25
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -3.87%E -1.88%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 17:24
1xBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.31%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.59%EV -1.07%E -0.282%K -0.383%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV -2.50%E -0.700%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 17:20
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.22%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.74%EV -1.85%E -0.493%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -2.50%E -0.700%K -0.971%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 17:15
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -3.42%E -0.924%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:15
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:24
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 16:55
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:25
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:25
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.34%E -2.12%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 17:24
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:24
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.45%EV -5.74%E -2.84%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.86%EV -7.33%E -2.07%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-22 17:24
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.36%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.95%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -3.32%E -0.936%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-22 17:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-22 17:25
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.90%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -0.808%E -0.213%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 17:23
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -6.67%E -3.34%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.04%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 17:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -0.808%E -0.213%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -0.808%E -0.213%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:25
BetAnything🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.16%EV -7.14%E -3.59%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.22%EV -0.808%E -0.213%K -0.288%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.62%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.754%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-22 17:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.01%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.19%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-22 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 17:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.20%EV -7.61%E -3.84%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.94%EV -9.94%E -2.88%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.87%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-22 17:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.34%EV -8.07%E -4.10%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.32%E -1.84%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 17:24
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.72%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 17:25
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 17:14
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:20
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-22 17:20
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.39%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.61%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.00%EV -8.77%E -2.62%K -3.73%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -9.01%E -4.62%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -12.85%E -4.02%K -5.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.03%EV -9.47%E -4.88%K -10.08%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.50%EV -12.03%E -3.57%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 17:19
Suprabets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.46%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 24.81%EV -1.59%E -0.422%K -0.574%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -4.68%E -1.34%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 17:21
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -9.94%E -5.15%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.03%E -1.67%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -1.96%E -0.544%K -0.754%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 17:23
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 45.65%EV -10.41%E -5.42%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.39%EV -16.47%E -5.15%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-22 17:15
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.87%E -5.69%K -11.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-22 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.69%EV -11.34%E -5.97%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.31%EV -13.86%E -4.20%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.00%EV -15.58%E -5.02%K -7.42%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-22 17:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -12.27%E -6.53%K -13.95%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -12.55%E -3.75%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -11.49%E -3.54%K -5.11%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 17:15
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.98%EV -12.74%E -6.81%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.63%EV -8.64%E -2.47%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -7.41%E -2.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-22 17:24
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.51%EV -13.67%E -7.39%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -11.25%E -3.31%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.64%EV -10.13%E -3.07%K -4.40%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 44.93%EV -14.61%E -7.98%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.52%EV -19.08%E -6.15%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.55%EV -21.57%E -7.49%K -11.47%G +0.000%21.6%2026-03-22 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-22 17:25
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.88%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.91%0.4%2026-03-22 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.12%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.09%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.79%0.9%2026-03-22 17:25
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.03%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84%2.1%2026-03-22 17:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-22 17:20