Language:English
KV Mechelen v Sint Truiden
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
KV Mechelen (Local)
Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.375%
Kelly -0.553%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.11%31.91%31.79%33.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.932.943.1038.17%34.18%34.01%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sint Truiden (Visit)
Prediction 41.10%2.43fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.90%41.14%41.08%42.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.252.3748.78%44.90%44.44%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.02%3.70fair odd
EV -1.39%
Edge -0.380%
Kelly -0.524%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.86%26.96%27.13%27.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.413.403.6531.75%29.29%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KV Mechelen (Local): 31.88%; Sint Truiden (Visit): 41.10%; Draw: 27.02%. For KV Mechelen (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.10, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -1.16%E -0.375%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -1.39%E -0.380%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.99%EV -1.16%E -0.375%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.69%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.32%EV -1.39%E -0.380%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -1.16%E -0.375%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -1.16%E -0.375%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-11 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -1.16%E -0.375%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 16:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -1.16%E -0.375%K -0.553%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.67%EV -2.44%E -0.796%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.88%EV -2.59%E -1.09%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.45%EV -4.63%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-11 17:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -2.76%E -0.904%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -2.74%E -0.761%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -2.76%E -0.904%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-11 16:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.03%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.89%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -4.09%E -1.15%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.97%EV -6.29%E -2.76%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.89%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -10.40%E -4.77%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -10.40%E -4.77%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -10.40%E -4.77%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -4.35%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.56%EV -10.40%E -4.77%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.64%EV -4.99%E -1.67%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.64%EV -4.65%E -2.00%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.15%EV -5.94%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.94%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.94%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -5.94%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-11 16:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -5.94%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -12.05%E -5.63%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.81%EV -5.94%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%EV -12.05%E -5.63%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -6.26%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.83%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -6.26%E -2.13%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -3.83%E -1.64%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.11%EV -6.90%E -2.36%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-11 16:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -12.20%E -3.75%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -12.87%E -6.07%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -12.87%E -6.07%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.93%EV -7.54%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.30%EV -12.87%E -6.07%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.74%E -0.761%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -2.74%E -0.761%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-11 17:04 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -13.69%E -6.52%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-11 16:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.13%E -3.20%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -5.44%E -1.55%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.77%EV -9.45%E -3.33%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.37%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -2.74%E -0.761%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 16:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -13.55%E -4.23%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.77I 36.10%NM 32.27%EV -11.68%E -4.22%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.64%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.12%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -6.79%E -1.97%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.73%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.58%EV -11.64%E -5.41%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.70%EV -14.90%E -4.73%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.62%EV -12.32%E -4.48%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.42%EV -15.75%E -7.68%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.96%EV -9.49%E -2.83%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.71%EV -12.96%E -4.75%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 40.23%EV -8.76%E -3.95%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -10.84%E -3.29%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -13.92%E -5.15%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -7.53%E -3.34%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-10-11 16:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.77%EV -16.47%E -6.28%K -10.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.21%EV -9.58%E -4.35%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -8.14%E -2.39%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-10-11 17:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 17:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.48% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.54% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.72% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.56% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.72% | 1.0% | 2026-10-11 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45% | 1.2% | 2026-10-11 17:10 |