Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.98
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: KV Mechelen (Local): 24.41%; Anderlecht (Visitante): 49.38%; Empate: 26.21%. Para KV Mechelen (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.10. 12 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +9.85%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV +9.85%E +2.19%K +2.81%G +0.277% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.35%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.19%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.65%EV +6.18%E +1.42%K +1.85%G +0.114% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.45%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +4.96%E +1.15%K +1.50%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +4.96%E +1.15%K +1.50%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +4.96%E +1.15%K +1.50%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.67%EV +4.96%E +1.15%K +1.50%G +0.075% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 15:13 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.39%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 50.53%EV -11.61%E -6.49%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.84%EV +0.081%E +0.020%K +0.026%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.60%EV -12.60%E -7.12%K -16.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.56%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.31%EV -0.163%E -0.040%K -0.053%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.43%EV -6.67%E -3.53%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-09 16:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.07I 24.57%NM 23.33%EV -0.651%E -0.160%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.51%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.16%EV -4.86%E -1.34%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-09 10:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -2.36%E -0.590%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.80%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-08 01:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.36%E -0.590%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-07 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -2.36%E -0.590%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.41%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.95%E -1.96%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 16:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.36%E -0.590%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -13.59%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.14%EV -2.36%E -0.590%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.61%EV -13.59%E -7.76%K -18.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -14.82%E -4.56%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-09-09 15:15 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.53%EV -3.82%E -0.971%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.12%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.34%EV -7.74%E -2.20%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-09 12:08 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-09 13:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.57%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.57%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 13:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.02%EV -6.02%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.18%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.80%EV -9.57%E -2.78%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-09-09 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -7.24%E -1.91%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.17%E -3.81%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-09 13:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.89%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 22:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 06:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.09%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.46%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-09 06:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-07 21:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-09-07 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -8.46%E -2.26%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-09-09 12:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.98%EV -8.95%E -2.40%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.70%EV -11.12%E -6.18%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-07 20:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-08 22:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 09:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -9.68%E -2.62%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-07 09:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -10.90%E -2.99%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -5.19%E -2.70%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 09:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.71%E -1.90%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-07 09:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -2.23%E -1.13%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-07 02:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.68%E -2.98%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-08 22:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -3.02%E -0.817%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-07 11:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-08 22:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -8.65%E -4.67%K -10.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.34%EV -5.64%E -1.57%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -12.12%E -3.37%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-08 08:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.88%EV -9.64%E -5.27%K -11.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-09-08 18:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.56%E -4.16%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.16%EV -10.62%E -5.87%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -8.26%E -2.36%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-06 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -15.79%E -4.58%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.42%EV -7.66%E -4.10%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -13.51%E -4.09%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-09-07 18:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -17.01%E -5.00%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.22%EV -6.18%E -3.25%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -10.89%E -3.20%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-07 02:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -19.45%E -5.89%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -8.15%E -4.38%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -12.20%E -3.64%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-07 02:04 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.01% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49% | 2.0% | 2026-09-09 15:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.57% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53% | 10.1% | 2026-09-09 12:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.22% | 13.0% | 2026-09-09 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 21.86% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 56.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 21.86% | 32.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 21.86% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 56.28% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 21.86% | 32.6% | 2026-09-09 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 18.81% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 62.39% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 18.81% | 54.1% | 2026-09-09 17:20 |