The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KV Kortrijk v Union Saint-Gilloise

2026-11-22 15:00 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Prediction 12.50%8.00fair odd
EV +2.48%
Edge +0.302%
Kelly +0.344%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 8.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.39%12.39%12.54%14.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.907.087.258.2016.95%14.13%13.79%12.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit)

Prediction 68.31%1.46fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -8.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.50%68.37%68.17%69.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.351.371.4179.37%73.85%72.99%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.19%5.21fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.420%
Kelly -0.522%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.58%19.23%19.28%20.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.654.755.1025.00%21.50%21.05%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KV Kortrijk (Local): 12.50%; Union Saint-Gilloise (Visit): 68.31%; Draw: 19.19%. For KV Kortrijk (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.00. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.20, producing a positive expected value of +2.48%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.39%EV +2.48%E +0.302%K +0.344%G +0.009%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.16%EV -7.78%E -5.76%K -22.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -7.90%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:49
Betr (AU)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.15%EV -3.15%E -0.406%K -0.466%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.23%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -7.90%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 12:34
Pinnacle🎯7.73I 12.94%NM 12.26%EV -3.40%E -0.439%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.16%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.58%EV -2.14%E -0.420%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-09 21:35
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV -6.27%E -0.836%K -0.965%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.73%E -4.15%K -15.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.06%E -0.812%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 13:59
1xBet🎯7.49I 13.35%NM 12.76%EV -6.40%E -0.854%K -0.985%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.80%EV -3.68%E -2.61%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.43%EV -5.59%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯7.30I 13.70%NM 12.74%EV -8.77%E -1.20%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.88%EV -6.41%E -4.68%K -17.32%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.38%EV -7.90%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 12:50
NordicBet🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -10.02%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.17%EV -5.04%E -3.63%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.82%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 21:20
Betsson🎯7.20I 13.89%NM 12.97%EV -10.02%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.17%EV -5.04%E -3.63%K -12.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.82%E -2.09%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 21:20
Betclic (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.50%EV -20.02%E -3.13%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.94%EV -10.51%E -8.02%K -33.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.57%EV -19.41%E -4.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%15.8%2026-11-09 12:28
Winamax (DE)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.11%EV -21.89%E -3.50%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 66.30%EV -9.14%E -6.87%K -27.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -13.65%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%13.4%2026-11-09 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 13.77%EV -25.02%E -4.17%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 65.57%EV -13.92%E -11.05%K -53.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.66%EV -23.25%E -5.81%K -7.75%G +0.000%21.0%2026-11-09 12:25
Winamax (FR)🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 14.54%EV -26.27%E -4.45%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.50%EV -10.51%E -8.02%K -33.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.96%EV -17.49%E -4.07%K -5.30%G +0.000%16.5%2026-11-09 12:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 14.20%1.31I 76.34%NM 65.03%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.78%17.4%2026-11-09 12:35

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