The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KV Kortrijk v KV Mechelen

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 18:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KV Kortrijk (Local)

Prediction 35.53%2.81fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.833%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.55%35.62%35.41%37.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.592.572.7540.82%38.61%38.91%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KV Mechelen (Visit)

Prediction 37.04%2.70fair odd
EV +0.021%
Edge +0.008%
Kelly +0.013%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.33%37.04%37.04%39.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.502.502.7044.44%39.95%40.00%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.42%3.65fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.353%
Kelly -0.489%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.84%27.35%27.55%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.353.403.6031.75%29.85%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KV Kortrijk (Local): 35.53%; KV Mechelen (Visit): 37.04%; Draw: 27.42%. For KV Mechelen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.699. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.700, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.021%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.41%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.33%EV +0.021%E +0.008%K +0.013%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-23 14:30
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.97%EV -4.42%E -1.64%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.97%EV -0.349%E -0.130%K -0.207%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.05%EV -5.38%E -1.56%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-23 15:06
BetOnline.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22%EV -9.04%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55%EV -0.719%E -0.268%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 12:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.22%EV -9.04%E -3.53%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.55%EV -0.719%E -0.268%K -0.428%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-23 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.83%E -0.691%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-23 08:23
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.84%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.51%EV -1.83%E -0.691%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.65%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-23 08:23
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.16%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.76%EV -1.83%E -0.691%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-23 13:50
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.23%EV -3.71%E -1.37%K -2.17%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.01%EV -4.42%E -1.71%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -5.66%E -1.64%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-23 12:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-23 12:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -1.27%E -0.353%K -0.489%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-23 12:55
betano_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 12:44
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.74%EV -6.91%E -2.64%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 12:40
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 13:11
NordicBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 13:11
Coolbet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 12:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 08:23
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 08:23
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -5.54%E -2.17%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-23 08:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.21%EV -6.20%E -2.35%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.04%EV -7.02%E -2.80%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-23 12:40
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-23 14:08
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.07%E -1.51%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 12:45
Tipico (DE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-23 12:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-23 12:55
theScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-23 12:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-23 12:55
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 12:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 12:55
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.06%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.39%E -2.96%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.48%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-23 12:55
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 08:23
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 08:23
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 08:23
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 08:23
TABtouch🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.40%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.40%EV -8.13%E -3.28%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.24%E -3.83%K -5.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 08:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.29%E -0.833%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 12:45
BetMGM🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.29%E -0.833%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.29%E -0.833%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 12:45
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -2.29%E -0.833%K -1.31%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-23 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 06:31
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-22 20:20
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.87%E -3.34%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-23 15:06
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -12.95%E -5.29%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-22 20:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 08:23
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 08:23
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.54%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.26%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-23 08:23
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.61%EV -11.89%E -4.79%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.35%EV -9.98%E -4.11%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-23 08:23
Betclic (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.40%EV -8.69%E -3.38%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.60%EV -10.35%E -4.28%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.00%EV -7.58%E -2.25%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-23 06:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -7.62%E -2.93%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.76%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-23 12:45
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -12.95%E -5.29%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-22 20:20
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.55%EV -12.24%E -4.96%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.58%EV -11.09%E -4.62%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -13.61%E -4.32%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-23 12:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.17%E -4.47%K -7.45%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -11.83%E -4.97%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -4.01%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 12:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -9.40%E -3.69%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -12.94%E -5.51%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -8.13%E -2.43%K -3.46%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-23 12:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.55%EV -5.85%E -2.21%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -16.65%E -7.40%K -13.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -9.50%E -2.88%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-23 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-10-23 13:07
Smarkets◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.76%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-10-23 13:07
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-10-23 13:46
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.19%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.35%1.6%2026-10-23 13:46
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.09%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-10-23 13:49
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.27%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-10-23 15:35