L’École des cotes

Gent v SV Zulte-Waregem

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gent (Local)

Prévision 40.98%2.44cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.78%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.60%41.02%40.90%42.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.242.252.3850.00%44.55%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.18%3.11cote équitable
EV -0.230%
Avantage -0.074%
Kelly -0.109%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.11%32.20%32.22%33.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.912.903.1038.46%34.36%34.48%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.447%
Avantage -0.120%
Kelly -0.165%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.51%26.79%26.88%28.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.433.483.7134.72%29.15%28.78%26.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 15:05
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:39
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:39
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -1.20%E -0.389%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 19:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:14
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:35
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:15
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:34
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:32
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:55
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 15:04
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.15%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.56%EV -1.20%E -0.389%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.12%EV -0.447%E -0.120%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-13 19:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.06%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.06%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -7.38%E -3.27%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.715%E -0.193%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:40
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:39
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:38
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.00%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -12.46%E -4.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -11.99%E -3.65%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 19:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -16.32%E -6.28%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -10.66%E -4.89%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 19:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:14
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:40
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-13 19:03
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 19:20
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -12.30%E -5.75%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -12.30%E -5.75%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.94%E -6.64%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.82%E -5.42%K -8.01%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 40.73%EV -18.04%E -9.02%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 30.98%EV -15.36%E -5.84%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.29%EV -22.72%E -7.89%K -12.08%G +0.000%22.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:25
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-13 19:10