La escuela de los momios

Gent v SV Zulte-Waregem

Inicio: 2026-03-13 19:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gent (Local)

Predicción 40.98%2.44momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.78%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.60%41.02%40.90%42.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.242.252.3850.00%44.55%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante)

Predicción 32.18%3.11momio equitativo
EV -0.230%
Ventaja -0.074%
Kelly -0.109%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.11%32.20%32.22%33.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.912.903.1038.46%34.36%34.48%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.447%
Ventaja -0.120%
Kelly -0.165%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.51%26.79%26.88%28.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.433.483.7134.72%29.15%28.78%26.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.60%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.07%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-13 15:05
LowVig.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:39
BetOnline.ag2.37I 42.19%NM 40.75%EV -2.87%E -1.21%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.59%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-13 19:39
Pinnacle2.34I 42.74%NM 41.33%EV -4.10%E -1.75%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.50%EV -1.20%E -0.389%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.17%EV -4.47%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-13 19:40
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-13 19:14
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:35
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.90%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.02%E -2.06%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:15
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:14
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-13 19:35
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-13 19:34
Suprabets2.30I 43.48%NM 40.67%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.82%EV -5.38%E -1.83%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:32
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 18:55
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.56%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:39
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.82%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.47%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-13 15:04
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 42.32%EV -6.15%E -2.69%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.56%EV -1.20%E -0.389%K -0.578%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 26.12%EV -0.447%E -0.120%K -0.165%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-13 19:40
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.06%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 42.06%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.93%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.01%EV -4.74%E -1.34%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Marathon Bet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.27%EV -7.38%E -3.27%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.62%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -7.69%E -2.24%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.22%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 19:40
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -0.715%E -0.193%K -0.265%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-13 19:20
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-13 19:04
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:40
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.06%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:39
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-13 19:38
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.28%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -3.40%E -0.944%K -1.31%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-13 19:00
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:40
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-13 19:35
LeoVegas2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:40
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.22%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.84%E -0.603%K -0.897%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -6.08%E -1.74%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-13 19:40
Betclic (FR)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.00%EV -8.61%E -3.86%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.80%EV -12.46%E -4.58%K -7.24%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.20%EV -11.99%E -3.65%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-13 19:19
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -0.230%E -0.074%K -0.109%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-13 19:15
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.18%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -7.42%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.80%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.67%EV -16.32%E -6.28%K -10.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.53%EV -11.45%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-13 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 42.23%EV -10.66%E -4.89%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.69%EV -3.45%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-13 19:40
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.77%E -2.58%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-13 19:40
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:14
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -7.31%E -2.54%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -14.13%E -4.42%K -6.42%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-13 19:40
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.93%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.00%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-13 19:03
Parions Sport (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.69%EV -11.89%E -5.53%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.40%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -12.79%E -3.94%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-13 19:20
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -12.30%E -5.75%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:39
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.07%EV -12.30%E -5.75%K -10.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -6.67%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -10.11%E -3.02%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-13 19:39
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.20%EV -13.94%E -6.64%K -12.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.90%EV -9.89%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -16.82%E -5.42%K -8.01%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-13 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 40.73%EV -18.04%E -9.02%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 30.98%EV -15.36%E -5.84%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.29%EV -22.72%E -7.89%K -12.08%G +0.000%22.7%2026-03-13 19:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:30
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-03-13 19:25
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.99%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.71%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.30%1.8%2026-03-13 19:40
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.08%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.50%2.0%2026-03-13 19:10