Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gent v Sint Truiden

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 11:34 UTC

Final: Gent 0–0 Sint Truiden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gent (Local)

Prediction 37.48%2.67fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.635%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.62%37.54%37.56%39.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.482.502.6444.44%40.40%40.00%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sint Truiden (Visit)

Prediction 35.35%2.83fair odd
EV +1.82%
Edge +0.632%
Kelly +0.968%
Growth +0.018%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.61%35.32%35.41%36.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.632.622.8842.02%37.99%38.17%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.16%3.68fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -0.853%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%27.14%27.03%28.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.373.403.6034.72%29.63%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gent (Local): 37.48%; Sint Truiden (Visit): 35.35%; Draw: 27.16%. For Sint Truiden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.82%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.35%EV -7.79%E -3.17%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.61%EV +1.82%E +0.632%K +0.968%G +0.018%3.58I 27.93%NM 27.04%EV -2.76%E -0.771%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 11:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV -2.54%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -1.01%E -0.360%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-19 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV -2.54%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV -1.01%E -0.360%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-19 11:30
Pinnacle🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.37%EV -2.92%E -1.13%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.57%EV -1.01%E -0.360%K -0.561%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.06%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-19 11:29
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.54%E -2.20%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 11:30
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.17%EV -5.54%E -2.20%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.44%EV -3.84%E -1.41%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-19 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-19 11:30
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 11:30
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 11:30
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.58%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-19 11:30
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -11.91%E -5.07%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -4.54%E -1.68%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -2.22%E -0.616%K -0.853%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 11:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.14%EV -5.91%E -2.36%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.78%EV -5.25%E -1.96%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.08%EV -9.82%E -2.96%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 11:29
BetUS🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:29
BetAnything🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.48%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.16%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.16%E -3.33%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:29
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -8.16%E -3.33%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:29
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:30
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-19 11:30
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:30
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.07%EV -6.31%E -2.38%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Suprabets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.79%EV -4.79%E -1.89%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.40%EV -6.67%E -2.52%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.81%EV -8.74%E -2.60%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:27
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.40%EV -8.16%E -3.33%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.84%EV -7.02%E -2.67%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 11:30
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -2.54%E -0.977%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.28%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.16%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-19 11:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.04%E -0.395%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.62%EV -1.04%E -0.395%K -0.635%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.76%EV -7.37%E -2.81%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 11:28
Bovada🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.51%EV -7.79%E -3.17%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.35%EV -7.73%E -2.96%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-19 11:30
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -4.42%E -1.73%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 11:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.16%E -3.33%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-19 11:29
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:29
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -6.29%E -2.52%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-19 11:29
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -10.04%E -4.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.44%EV -8.91%E -3.67%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -10.37%E -3.14%K -4.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-19 11:30
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -8.16%E -3.33%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-19 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.04%E -4.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.04%E -4.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 11:30
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.57%EV -10.04%E -4.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.75%EV -11.72%E -3.61%K -5.21%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -13.79%E -5.99%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.67%EV -8.08%E -3.11%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -6.29%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 11:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 37.64%EV -9.29%E -3.84%K -6.54%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.72%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.64%EV -7.11%E -2.08%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-19 11:27
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.04%E -4.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -9.85%E -3.86%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -7.65%E -2.25%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-19 11:29
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.04%E -4.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -4.93%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 11:30
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -10.04%E -4.18%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.42%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -13.08%E -4.09%K -5.95%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-19 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -15.66%E -6.96%K -12.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.00%EV -11.62%E -4.65%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.12%EV -9.01%E -2.69%K -3.83%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 11:30
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.30%EV -13.79%E -5.99%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.02%EV -13.38%E -5.46%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.68%EV -15.80%E -5.10%K -7.52%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.17%EV -13.79%E -5.99%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 34.95%EV -15.86%E -6.66%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.88%EV -21.77%E -7.56%K -11.58%G +0.000%20.2%2026-04-19 11:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%0.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%0.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 37.20%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.11%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.69%0.3%2026-04-19 11:30
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 37.05%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.76%1.5%2026-04-19 11:30
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.86%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.42%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.73%1.6%2026-04-19 11:30
Kalshi2.50I 40.00%NM 37.36%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%7.1%2026-04-19 11:30