Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent v Club Brugge

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 11:30 UTC

Score final : Gent 2–1 Club Brugge

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Gent (Local)

Prévision 19.22%5.20cote équitable
EV +1.86%
Avantage +0.351%
Kelly +0.433%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 5.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.94%19.29%19.16%21.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.304.844.805.3023.26%20.64%20.83%18.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Club Brugge (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.12%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.89%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.13%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.23%57.01%57.09%58.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.561.631.621.7064.10%61.53%61.73%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.66%4.23cote équitable
EV -0.634%
Avantage -0.151%
Kelly -0.198%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.31%23.70%23.75%25.09%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.553.843.854.2028.17%26.05%25.97%23.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Gent (Local) : 19.22% ; Club Brugge (Visiteur) : 57.12% ; Match nul : 23.66%. Pour Gent (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 5.20. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.30, soit une espérance positive de +1.86%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Grosvenor🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV +1.86%E +0.351%K +0.433%G +0.008%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -4.03%E -2.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 11:25
ATG (SE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV +1.86%E +0.351%K +0.433%G +0.008%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -4.03%E -2.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Svenska Spel🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 18.14%EV +1.86%E +0.351%K +0.433%G +0.008%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.22%EV -4.03%E -2.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Pinnacle🎯5.28I 18.94%NM 18.25%EV +1.48%E +0.280%K +0.345%G +0.005%1.66I 60.24%NM 58.06%EV -5.18%E -3.12%K -7.84%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.68%EV -3.71%E -0.911%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 11:20
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +0.900%E +0.171%K +0.212%G +0.002%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.70%EV -7.46%E -4.61%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -3.00%E -0.732%K -0.968%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 11:25
Coral🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV +0.900%E +0.171%K +0.212%G +0.002%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -8.03%E -4.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 11:25
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV -0.061%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Suprabets🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -1.98%E -0.389%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.77%EV -7.46%E -4.61%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV -7.26%E -1.85%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 11:12
Unibet (NL)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -1.98%E -0.389%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.85%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet (SE)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -1.98%E -0.389%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.85%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:25
Casumo🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -1.98%E -0.389%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.85%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:25
betPARX🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -1.98%E -0.389%K -0.484%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.85%EV -6.32%E -3.85%K -9.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:25
1xBet🎯5.06I 19.76%NM 19.14%EV -2.75%E -0.544%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -2.89%E -1.70%K -4.13%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.91%EV -4.18%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 11:20
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -3.91%E -0.781%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.91%E -0.781%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.61%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.91%E -0.781%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.61%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -3.91%E -0.781%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.84%EV -7.46%E -4.61%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 11:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.91%E -0.781%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.03%E -4.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:25
Bet Victor🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -3.91%E -0.781%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.99%EV -8.03%E -4.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:13
betano_uk🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -3.91%E -0.781%K -0.976%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-30 11:23
Betr (AU)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.57%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -0.634%E -0.151%K -0.198%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 11:15
NordicBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -8.91%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betsson🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.65%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.28%EV -8.91%E -2.32%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.05%EV -5.83%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.62%EV -7.46%E -4.61%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 11:25
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.66%EV -6.79%E -1.40%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.55%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.79%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 11:25
888sport🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:10
888sport (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:10
William Hill🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.88%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.92%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:10
BetRivers🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.01%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 55.99%EV -6.89%E -4.23%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -13.65%E -3.74%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-30 11:00
PMU (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -8.03%E -4.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 11:25
TABtouch🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -8.03%E -4.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.82%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.10%EV -8.03%E -4.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 11:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.75%EV -7.75%E -1.61%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.25%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-30 11:25
Coolbet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 11:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.48%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 11:15
BetUS🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.16%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.89%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 11:15
Paddy Power🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.84%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.98%EV -10.32%E -6.57%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.25%EV -9.75%E -6.17%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Virgin Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.71%EV -8.71%E -1.83%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.25%EV -9.75%E -6.17%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.04%EV -16.01%E -4.51%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Betclic (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -9.67%E -2.06%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.55%EV -8.03%E -4.99%K -13.17%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.08%EV -10.57%E -2.80%K -3.80%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-30 11:15
betfred_uk🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.08%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.30%EV -4.61%E -2.76%K -6.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 11:15
NetBet (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 56.66%EV -9.75%E -6.17%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.87%EV -11.28%E -3.01%K -4.10%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 11:15
Sky Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.41%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -8.60%E -5.38%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 11:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.33%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.64%EV -10.32%E -6.57%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 11:15
SportsBet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.13%EV -11.59%E -2.52%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 56.42%EV -10.89%E -6.98%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.45%EV -14.83%E -4.12%K -5.70%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-30 11:15
theScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.75%E -3.48%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -7.73%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-30 11:15
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.15%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 55.98%EV -7.46%E -4.61%K -12.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -10.10%E -2.66%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 11:14
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.11%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.27%EV -9.75%E -6.17%K -16.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 11:25
Unibet (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.68%EV -13.51%E -3.00%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 56.39%EV -10.32%E -6.57%K -18.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -12.46%E -3.37%K -4.62%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 11:15
Winamax (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.27%EV -15.44%E -3.51%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 57.16%EV -10.89%E -6.98%K -19.44%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.57%EV -6.55%E -1.66%K -2.22%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-30 11:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -17.36%E -4.04%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -4.03%E -2.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -17.36%E -4.04%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -4.03%E -2.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 08:34
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -17.36%E -4.04%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.23%EV -4.03%E -2.40%K -5.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -5.37%E -1.34%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-29 08:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Matchbook◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.73%1.71I 58.48%NM 58.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎5.40I 18.52%NM 18.33%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.54%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.0%2026-08-30 11:25
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.78%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-08-30 11:10
Smarkets◎5.30I 18.87%NM 18.25%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.57%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.18%3.4%2026-08-30 11:25