La escuela de los momios

Gent v Anderlecht

Inicio: 2026-05-10 11:30 UTC

Final: Gent 1–1 Anderlecht

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Gent (Local)

Predicción 41.42%2.41momio equitativo
EV -3.48%
Ventaja -1.50%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.65%41.45%41.47%42.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.232.252.3350.00%44.82%44.44%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anderlecht (Visitante)

Predicción 31.50%3.18momio equitativo
EV -1.10%
Ventaja -0.351%
Kelly -0.516%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.42%31.50%31.45%32.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.953.1437.04%33.88%33.90%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.08%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.697%
Kelly -0.965%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.79%27.05%27.09%28.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.423.453.6034.72%29.25%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle2.33I 42.92%NM 41.57%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.84%EV -1.10%E -0.351%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.59%EV -4.95%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 01:30
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.53%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -2.36%E -0.762%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 17:19
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 41.53%EV -3.48%E -1.50%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.21%EV -2.36%E -0.762%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV -3.86%E -1.09%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-09 17:19
1xBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.51%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.90%EV -2.68%E -0.867%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.59%EV -6.30%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 02:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:35
LowVig.ag2.30I 43.48%NM 40.80%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.77%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 16:34
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -4.73%E -2.05%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-08 13:39
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -5.55%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.68%EV -5.55%E -2.44%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.16%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 13:44
Suprabets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36%EV -6.38%E -2.82%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.99%EV -9.55%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 23:39
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-09 23:48
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-09 23:49
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-08 22:14
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 00:30
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 00:29
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:44
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:44
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:45
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 23:49
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:54
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:54
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 23:49
Everygame2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -3.94%E -1.29%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 23:34
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.48%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.91%EV -4.88%E -1.62%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -8.47%E -2.50%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 02:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 23:34
Betclic (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 26.97%EV -7.11%E -2.07%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 23:31
888sport2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 13:59
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:00
888sport (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:04
Mr Green (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -6.80%E -3.02%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 14:04
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:45
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:44
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 41.68%EV -7.63%E -3.42%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-09 13:44
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.51%E -1.84%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 14:29
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.51%E -0.697%K -0.965%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 14:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 14:29
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -9.29%E -3.23%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -7.09%E -2.40%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 13:44
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-09 13:34
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.57%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 11:10
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-10 00:29
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -8.87%E -4.03%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.56%EV -13.39%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.73%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-09 11:09
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -9.70%E -4.45%K -8.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -8.66%E -2.99%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -9.28%E -2.77%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 13:44
NetBet (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.03%EV -10.11%E -4.66%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.57%EV -11.18%E -3.97%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.40%EV -11.99%E -3.69%K -5.33%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-10 01:29
Virgin Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.59%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -9.29%E -3.23%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:19
LiveScore Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 41.59%EV -10.53%E -4.87%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.19%EV -9.29%E -3.23%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-09 17:19
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -5.22%E -1.49%K -2.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 14:29
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.29%E -3.23%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -10.63%E -3.22%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-08 13:37
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -10.94%E -5.09%K -9.51%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -11.81%E -4.22%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-09 14:30
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.99%EV -13.01%E -6.20%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.07%EV -13.39%E -4.87%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.94%EV -7.92%E -2.33%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 14:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.06%EV -17.15%E -8.58%K -17.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.42%EV -14.96%E -5.54%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 28.52%EV -22.01%E -7.64%K -11.71%G +0.000%21.8%2026-05-09 15:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.38I 42.02%NM 42.02%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.96%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.03%0.0%2026-05-10 01:20
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-10 00:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-05-10 02:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-05-10 02:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%1.4%2026-05-10 02:15
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73%3.1%2026-05-10 02:55