The School of Odds
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Gent v Anderlecht

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 17:31 UTC

Final: Gent 4–0 Anderlecht

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gent (Local)

Prediction 37.14%2.69fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.449%
Kelly -0.720%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.61%37.11%37.28%39.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.492.502.6645.45%40.20%40.00%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anderlecht (Visit)

Prediction 33.71%2.97fair odd
EV -0.558%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.286%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%33.73%33.66%34.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.9539.22%36.47%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.15%3.43fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -0.616%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.34%29.15%29.06%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.143.153.3633.90%31.89%31.75%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gent (Local): 37.14%; Anderlecht (Visit): 33.71%; Draw: 29.15%. For Anderlecht (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.558%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.40%EV -1.20%E -0.449%K -0.720%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.70%EV -5.95%E -2.13%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.90%EV -2.36%E -0.704%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-25 17:19
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.82%EV -1.57%E -0.591%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 17:18
LowVig.ag🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -1.94%E -0.734%K -1.18%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.06%EV -6.96%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 17:19
1xBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.60%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.87%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.54%EV -2.07%E -0.616%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-25 17:18
Coral🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.08%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.38%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.54%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.85%EV -2.68%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.79%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 17:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -3.42%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.02%EV -0.558%E -0.189%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-25 16:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.46%EV -3.42%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 33.02%EV -0.558%E -0.189%K -0.286%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.52%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.7%2026-10-25 16:50
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -3.42%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-25 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.03%EV -3.42%E -1.32%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 17:18
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.48%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.10%EV -6.96%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 17:18
BetAnything🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.48%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.10%EV -6.96%E -2.52%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 17:19
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.31%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 17:18
NordicBet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.13%EV -4.17%E -1.62%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.27%EV -8.31%E -3.06%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 17:19
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.10%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.79%EV -5.61%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.11%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 17:10
BetUS🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.71%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.04%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.25%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 17:18
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 17:18
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 17:18
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.46%EV -5.28%E -2.07%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.93%EV -7.64%E -2.79%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.61%EV -8.48%E -2.70%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 17:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.73%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -5.61%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -3.82%E -1.16%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-25 17:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.40%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.61%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 17:18
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 17:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 17:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 17:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.46%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-25 17:18
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -12.36%E -4.75%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 17:18
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -7.14%E -2.86%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -11.68%E -4.46%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-25 17:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.88%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 16:50
Casumo🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.88%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 16:46
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.63%EV -7.88%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 16:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -3.93%E -1.38%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.04%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.28%EV -5.61%E -2.01%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 17:18
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 17:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -5.27%E -1.62%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-25 17:19
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.35%E -4.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 17:17
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.00%E -3.67%K -6.20%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -11.35%E -4.31%K -6.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-25 17:18
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -9.74%E -4.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 16:46
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -9.74%E -4.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 16:46
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.31%EV -9.74%E -4.01%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 16:46
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 17:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.89%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.42%EV -6.73%E -2.10%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 17:11
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 16:46
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.60%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.59%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-25 16:46
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.55%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.07%EV -9.65%E -3.11%K -4.59%G +0.000%11.0%2026-10-25 17:18
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.30%EV -10.85%E -4.52%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.17%EV -14.04%E -5.51%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.53%EV -14.02%E -4.75%K -7.19%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-25 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.60%E -4.87%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.60%E -4.87%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 16:46
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -11.60%E -4.87%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -7.30%E -2.65%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 16:46
NetBet (FR)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.43%EV -11.97%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.48%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.09%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 17:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.98%EV -12.71%E -5.41%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.68%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.34%EV -8.19%E -2.60%K -3.81%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 17:11
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.68%EV -12.71%E -5.41%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.80%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.52%EV -12.56%E -4.19%K -6.28%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 16:46
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.82%E -5.96%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -10.67%E -4.03%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.06%EV -11.98%E -3.97%K -5.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 17:18
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.43%EV -18.28%E -8.31%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.13%EV -8.99%E -3.33%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.44%EV -11.10%E -3.64%K -5.42%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-25 17:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-25 17:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.61%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.10%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.29%0.4%2026-10-25 17:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-10-25 17:19
Matchbook◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%2.92I 34.25%NM 34.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.67%0.6%2026-10-25 17:19
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.28%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.26%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.46%1.3%2026-10-25 17:19
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.27%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43%2.0%2026-10-25 17:19

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