The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Genk v Standard Liege

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 12:33 UTC

Final: Genk 2–1 Standard Liege

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genk (Local)

Prediction 56.34%1.77fair odd
EV -0.838%
Edge -0.476%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.81%56.32%56.35%58.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.651.661.7663.69%60.50%60.24%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Standard Liege (Visit)

Prediction 20.04%4.99fair odd
EV +5.02%
Edge +0.957%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.059%

assuming max odds 5.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.02%19.99%20.21%21.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.624.505.2424.39%21.63%22.22%19.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV +2.26%
Edge +0.522%
Kelly +0.679%
Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.22%23.68%23.43%25.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.803.804.3328.99%26.35%26.32%23.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genk (Local): 56.34%; Standard Liege (Visit): 20.04%; Draw: 23.62%. For Standard Liege (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.99. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.99%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.38%EV +5.02%E +0.957%K +1.18%G +0.059%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.63%EV -7.66%E -1.96%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-10-25 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.56%EV -9.85%E -6.16%K -16.42%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.02%EV +4.21%E +0.811%K +1.00%G +0.042%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.27%EV -0.838%E -0.476%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +0.207%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 11:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 55.27%EV -0.838%E -0.476%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.46%EV +0.207%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.27%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.8%2026-10-25 11:45
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.15%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.42%EV +0.207%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.43%EV +2.26%E +0.522%K +0.679%G +0.015%3.0%2026-10-25 12:32
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.09%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV +0.207%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-25 12:25
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.09%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +0.207%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.95%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-25 12:32
LowVig.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +0.207%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 12:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.20%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.77%EV +0.207%E +0.041%K +0.052%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 12:30
1xBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.50%EV -4.22%E -2.48%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.37%EV -0.595%E -0.120%K -0.150%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.13%EV -6.01%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 12:29
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -2.80%E -0.577%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 12:10
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.91%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -2.80%E -0.577%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-25 12:10
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.64%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -3.80%E -0.792%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 12:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -3.80%E -0.792%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 12:32
BetAnything🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -3.80%E -0.792%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 12:25
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -3.80%E -0.792%K -1.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -3.17%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 12:23
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -5.91%E -3.54%K -8.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.90%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 12:25
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -4.80%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -3.17%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 12:31
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -7.04%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.02%EV -5.81%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -3.17%E -0.774%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-25 12:29
BetUS🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.75%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -5.81%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.33%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 12:25
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.81%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.81%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 11:54
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.58%EV -3.66%E -2.14%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.81%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -13.80%E -3.78%K -5.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 11:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.65%EV -7.60%E -4.63%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.42%EV -8.81%E -1.94%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.94%EV -4.35%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 12:32
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.21%EV -7.04%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.61%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-25 12:29
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-25 12:29
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -7.90%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 12:09
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -16.16%E -4.55%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 11:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -16.16%E -4.55%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 11:45
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.15%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.63%EV -16.16%E -4.55%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-25 11:45
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -7.90%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -7.90%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.48%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -7.90%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 12:10
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -17.34%E -4.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 11:54
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.96%EV -5.35%E -3.18%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.14%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -17.34%E -4.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-25 11:54
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 12:31
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -9.85%E -6.16%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -12.62%E -3.41%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -9.85%E -6.16%K -16.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -9.81%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -14.98%E -4.16%K -5.76%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-25 12:15
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.57%EV -7.04%E -4.26%K -10.82%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -0.810%E -0.193%K -0.253%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 12:32
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.02%EV -4.78%E -2.83%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.13%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.90%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 12:10
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -8.16%E -5.01%K -12.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -11.44%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -18.52%E -5.37%K -7.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -18.52%E -5.37%K -7.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 11:54
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -6.47%E -3.90%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.30%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.89%EV -18.52%E -5.37%K -7.56%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-25 11:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 54.11%EV -7.60%E -4.63%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.17%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -18.52%E -5.37%K -7.56%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-25 11:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.96%EV -9.29%E -5.77%K -15.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.11%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%EV -16.16%E -4.55%K -6.34%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-25 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.23%EV -10.98%E -6.95%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.83%EV -11.82%E -2.69%K -3.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -17.34%E -4.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-25 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.26%EV -11.54%E -7.35%K -20.25%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 19.95%EV -12.82%E -2.95%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.79%EV -17.34%E -4.95%K -6.94%G +0.000%15.3%2026-10-25 12:31
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.22%EV -7.60%E -4.63%K -11.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -15.83%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.22%EV -7.90%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-25 12:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.73%E -5.39%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -15.83%E -3.77%K -4.95%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -5.53%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-25 12:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.69%EV -10.98%E -6.95%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.46%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.85%EV -9.08%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 12:32
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 55.52%EV -10.98%E -6.95%K -18.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.40%EV -17.83%E -4.35%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.08%EV -10.26%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 12:31
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-10-25 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.91%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.29%0.4%2026-10-25 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.20%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%1.1%2026-10-25 12:25
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.80%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.71%1.1%2026-10-25 12:25
Matchbook◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.34%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.61%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-10-25 12:25
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.85%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.59%1.7%2026-10-25 12:25

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