The School of Odds
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Genk v RAAL La Louvière

2026-11-21 17:15 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Genk (Local)

Prediction 66.42%1.51fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -8.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.22%66.54%66.10%68.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.391.401.4577.52%72.16%71.17%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visit)

Prediction 14.27%7.01fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.93%14.33%14.38%15.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.256.476.7518.52%15.99%15.44%14.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.31%5.18fair odd
EV +0.394%
Edge +0.076%
Kelly +0.094%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.95%19.13%19.52%20.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.664.725.2025.00%21.45%21.16%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Genk (Local): 66.42%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 14.27%; Draw: 19.31%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.18. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.20, producing a positive expected value of +0.394%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.12%EV -9.00%E -6.57%K -24.32%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.40%E -0.657%K -0.772%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV +0.394%E +0.076%K +0.094%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:05
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -7.01%E -5.00%K -17.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.47%E -0.693%K -0.867%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-09 13:15
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.96%EV -3.68%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.45%EV -5.54%E -0.837%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.60%EV -5.78%E -1.19%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-09 16:34
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.52%EV -3.68%E -2.54%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.36I 15.72%NM 14.94%EV -9.25%E -1.45%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.86I 20.58%NM 19.55%EV -6.17%E -1.27%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-09 16:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.39%EV -5.68%E -4.00%K -13.52%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.97%EV -3.69%E -0.546%K -0.641%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.64%EV -7.33%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.99%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.43%EV -7.97%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -8.29%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 16:34
NordicBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.40%E -0.657%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:04
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.21%EV -6.34%E -4.50%K -15.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.93%EV -4.40%E -0.657%K -0.772%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -9.26%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.72%EV -9.66%E -7.10%K -26.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.72%EV -20.10%E -3.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -13.12%E -2.92%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-09 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.28%EV -11.66%E -8.76%K -35.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.83%EV -22.95%E -4.25%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.88%EV -16.98%E -3.95%K -5.15%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-09 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 64.76%EV -11.66%E -8.76%K -35.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 14.98%EV -17.95%E -3.12%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.26%EV -17.95%E -4.22%K -5.52%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-09 16:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 64.22%EV -14.31%E -11.09%K -49.35%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.06%EV -21.52%E -3.91%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.71%EV -22.77%E -5.69%K -7.59%G +0.000%20.7%2026-11-09 16:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.34I 74.63%NM 63.85%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.87%16.9%2026-11-09 16:35