Language:English
Genk v KV Kortrijk
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Genk (Local)
Prediction 67.85%1.47fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -6.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.51%67.73%67.88%70.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.361.361.4378.74%73.44%73.53%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
KV Kortrijk (Visit)
Prediction 13.27%7.54fair odd
EV +12.79%
Edge +1.50%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.218%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.39%13.28%13.26%15.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.167.008.5016.67%13.97%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 18.88%5.30fair odd
EV -0.899%
Edge -0.171%
Kelly -0.212%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.86%18.99%18.86%20.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.824.805.2522.73%20.76%20.83%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Genk (Local): 67.85%; KV Kortrijk (Visit): 13.27%; Draw: 18.88%. For KV Kortrijk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.54. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.79%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.17%EV -6.36%E -4.61%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.39%EV +12.79%E +1.50%K +1.70%G +0.218% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV -0.899%E -0.171%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.17%EV -6.36%E -4.61%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.39%EV +12.79%E +1.50%K +1.70%G +0.218% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.44%EV -0.899%E -0.171%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.35%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +6.15%E +0.769%K +0.879%G +0.054% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.40%E -6.22%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +6.15%E +0.769%K +0.879%G +0.054% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.40%E -6.22%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +6.15%E +0.769%K +0.879%G +0.054% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.40%E -6.22%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +6.15%E +0.769%K +0.879%G +0.054% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.24%EV -8.40%E -6.22%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.68%EV +6.15%E +0.769%K +0.879%G +0.054% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 18:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.93%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 12.22%EV +4.83%E +0.611%K +0.699%G +0.034% | 5.12I 19.53%NM 18.85%EV -3.35%E -0.655%K -0.814%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-10 18:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -8.40%E -6.22%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +3.50%E +0.449%K +0.515%G +0.018% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 18:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.18%EV +2.17%E +0.282%K +0.324%G +0.007% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.18%EV +2.17%E +0.282%K +0.324%G +0.007% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-10 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.21%EV -4.33%E -3.07%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.59I 13.18%NM 12.67%EV +0.712%E +0.094%K +0.108%G +0.001% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.12%EV -5.05%E -1.00%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.43%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -0.482%E -0.064%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -0.899%E -0.171%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-10 17:34 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.482%E -0.064%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV -0.482%E -0.064%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -9.75%E -7.33%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -0.482%E -0.064%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.48%EV -9.75%E -7.33%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.14%EV -0.482%E -0.064%K -0.074%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.27%EV -7.04%E -5.14%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -1.81%E -0.244%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 18:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.27%EV -7.04%E -5.14%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -1.81%E -0.244%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.27%EV -7.04%E -5.14%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.64%EV -1.81%E -0.244%K -0.283%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.09%EV -7.51%E -1.53%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -6.36%E -4.61%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.98%EV -3.80%E -0.524%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.35%EV -7.04%E -5.14%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -3.80%E -0.524%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.57%EV -2.97%E -2.08%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.60%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.72%EV -5.68%E -4.09%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.04%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.90%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.72%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.04%EV -7.04%E -5.14%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.32%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.16%EV -9.75%E -7.33%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -9.39%E -1.96%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 18:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -16.94%E -3.85%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.77%EV -10.43%E -7.90%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.77%EV -10.43%E -7.90%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.77%EV -10.43%E -7.90%K -32.60%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.45%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.52%EV -11.79%E -9.07%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.73%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.75%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-10 18:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.94%EV -11.11%E -8.48%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.71%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.35%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.10%EV -11.79%E -9.07%K -39.30%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.65%EV -7.12%E -1.02%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.25%EV -13.17%E -2.86%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -7.04%E -5.14%K -19.02%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -10.43%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 67.90%EV -11.11%E -8.48%K -35.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.18%EV -10.43%E -1.55%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.92%EV -11.28%E -2.40%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.51%EV -5.00%E -3.57%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.11%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -9.75%E -7.33%K -29.56%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -13.75%E -2.12%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -15.06%E -3.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-10 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 68.33%EV -13.82%E -10.89%K -51.20%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.77%EV -16.40%E -2.60%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.89%EV -8.45%E -1.74%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.82%EV -9.07%E -6.77%K -26.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.33%EV -17.07%E -2.73%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.85%EV -10.34%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-10 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.96%EV -7.72%E -5.67%K -21.44%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.18%EV -20.39%E -3.40%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.86%EV -3.73%E -0.731%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -8.40%E -6.22%K -23.99%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV -20.39%E -3.40%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -5.62%E -1.12%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 18:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.99% | 8.33I 12.00%NM 12.01% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 18.00% | -0.1% | 2026-10-10 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.17% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.17% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.17% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.17% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.50% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.32% | 1.1% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.32% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.45% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.23% | 1.6% | 2026-10-10 18:40 |