L’École des cotes

Genk v Gent

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-01 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Genk (Local)

Prévision 53.05%1.89cote équitable
EV -2.92%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -3.52%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.70%53.02%53.20%55.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.11%56.98%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gent (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.63%4.42cote équitable
EV -0.433%
Avantage -0.098%
Kelly -0.127%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.52%22.69%22.51%23.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.114.204.4027.78%24.34%23.81%22.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.32%4.11cote équitable
EV -1.50%
Avantage -0.370%
Kelly -0.491%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.38%24.29%24.30%26.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.793.804.0532.26%26.41%26.32%24.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.92%E -1.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 11:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.92%E -1.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 11:44
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 11:44
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 11:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.05%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -2.70%E -0.627%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 11:59
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.05%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -2.70%E -0.627%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 11:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 11:44
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.93%E -0.995%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.32%EV -2.24%E -0.519%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.81%EV -1.50%E -0.370%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 11:59
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.64%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.25%EV -2.92%E -0.681%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -3.69%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:44
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 11:44
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:43
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.41%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 11:40
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:59
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:59
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 12:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.68%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -5.63%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 11:44
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:57
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.75%E -5.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.82%EV -8.75%E -5.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.83%EV -9.94%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.36%EV -9.28%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 11:43
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 11:59
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 11:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.44%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -10.88%E -6.47%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -16.27%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 11:45
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -11.94%E -7.19%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -14.88%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-01 11:44
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.48%EV -12.47%E -7.56%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-01 11:44
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -13.53%E -8.30%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -0.433%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-26 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 50.70%EV -14.06%E -8.68%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.81%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.49%EV -24.60%E -7.94%K -11.72%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-01 11:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-03-01 12:00
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-01 11:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-03-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-03-01 12:00
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-03-01 11:59