La escuela de los momios

Genk v Gent

Inicio: 2026-03-01 12:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Genk (Local)

Predicción 53.05%1.89momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.60%
Kelly -3.52%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.70%53.02%53.20%55.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.751.751.8361.73%57.11%56.98%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Gent (Visitante)

Predicción 22.63%4.42momio equitativo
EV -0.433%
Ventaja -0.098%
Kelly -0.127%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.52%22.69%22.51%23.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.604.114.204.4027.78%24.34%23.81%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.32%4.11momio equitativo
EV -1.50%
Ventaja -0.370%
Kelly -0.491%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.38%24.29%24.30%26.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.793.804.0532.26%26.41%26.32%24.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.92%E -1.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 11:44
BetMGM1.83I 54.64%NM 51.57%EV -2.92%E -1.60%K -3.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.84%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 11:44
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 11:44
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 53.24%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.09%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 11:44
Svenska Spel1.81I 55.25%NM 53.05%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -2.70%E -0.627%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 11:59
ATG (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 53.05%EV -3.98%E -2.20%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.33%EV -2.70%E -0.627%K -0.817%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.62%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-01 11:59
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.94%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.82%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 11:44
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.78%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.05%EV -3.93%E -0.995%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -4.51%E -2.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.87%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.32I 23.15%NM 22.32%EV -2.24%E -0.519%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.81%EV -1.50%E -0.370%K -0.491%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.04%E -2.82%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.33%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 11:59
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.64%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.25%EV -2.92%E -0.681%K -0.888%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.11%EV -3.69%E -0.931%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 11:59
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.85%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:44
Coolbet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 11:44
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.56%EV -5.57%E -3.13%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.82%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
LeoVegas1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.13%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13%EV -3.83%E -0.900%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 11:59
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.99%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.68%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.23%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-01 11:44
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:43
BetUS1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 53.30%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.37%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Suprabets1.76I 56.82%NM 53.27%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.32%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.41%EV -6.61%E -1.72%K -2.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-01 11:40
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.13%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:59
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.15%E -1.32%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-01 11:44
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.44%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.29%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:59
Grosvenor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 11:59
TABtouch1.75I 57.14%NM 53.10%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-01 12:00
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.68%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.07%EV -5.63%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-01 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 52.52%EV -7.69%E -4.42%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -12.88%E -3.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%EV -6.36%E -1.65%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-01 11:44
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.91%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -2.02%E -0.466%K -0.606%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-01 11:57
LeoVegas (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.92%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -7.22%E -1.76%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.75%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-01 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.36%EV -8.75%E -5.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.26%EV -4.96%E -1.18%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.71%E -0.679%K -0.905%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.82%EV -8.75%E -5.09%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.83%EV -9.94%E -2.50%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.36%EV -9.28%E -2.49%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-01 11:43
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 53.07%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.38%EV -10.01%E -2.71%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-01 11:59
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.89%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -9.48%E -2.37%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.63%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-01 11:59
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 52.61%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -14.01%E -3.69%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-01 11:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-01 11:44
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.41%EV -9.82%E -5.77%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.84%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -12.44%E -3.46%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-01 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.24%EV -10.88%E -6.47%K -15.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -16.27%E -4.40%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.04%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-01 11:45
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.63%EV -11.94%E -7.19%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -11.75%E -3.01%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.96%EV -14.88%E -4.25%K -5.95%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-01 11:44
NetBet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 53.48%EV -12.47%E -7.56%K -19.18%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.34%EV -10.62%E -2.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.18%EV -11.23%E -3.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-01 11:44
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 55.40%EV -13.53%E -8.30%K -21.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -0.433%E -0.098%K -0.127%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.08%EV -8.80%E -2.35%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-26 22:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 50.70%EV -14.06%E -8.68%K -22.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.81%EV -18.54%E -5.15%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.49%EV -24.60%E -7.94%K -11.72%G +0.000%21.8%2026-03-01 11:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.09%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.64%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.27%0.5%2026-03-01 12:00
Smarkets1.86I 53.76%NM 53.24%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.76%1.0%2026-03-01 11:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-03-01 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-03-01 12:00
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.97%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.09%1.3%2026-03-01 11:59