Language:English
Dender v Lommel SK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Dender (Local)
Prediction 50.57%1.98fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.18%50.64%50.18%52.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9157.14%54.63%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Lommel SK (Visit)
Prediction 24.42%4.09fair odd
EV +0.140%
Edge +0.034%
Kelly +0.045%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.93%24.44%24.75%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.873.804.1027.78%25.83%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 25.01%4.00fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.440%
Kelly -0.590%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.90%24.92%25.08%25.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.713.703.9327.78%26.93%27.03%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dender (Local): 50.57%; Lommel SK (Visit): 24.42%; Draw: 25.01%. For Lommel SK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.09. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.140%.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.140%E +0.034%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.66%EV -7.96%E -4.37%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +0.140%E +0.034%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.52%EV -8.47%E -4.68%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.30%EV -0.349%E -0.086%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.19%EV -1.73%E -0.440%K -0.590%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.15%EV -8.97%E -4.99%K -11.22%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.47%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.43%EV -9.99%E -5.61%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -2.30%E -0.576%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.24%EV -3.73%E -0.968%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 16:08 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.53%EV -3.41%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -7.48%E -2.02%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -4.93%E -2.62%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -7.19%E -1.89%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.73%E -2.39%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.93%EV -7.46%E -4.07%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -9.63%E -2.60%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.98%E -2.77%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -3.41%E -1.79%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.98%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.21%EV -11.50%E -6.57%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.89%EV -12.07%E -3.35%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%EV -6.23%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-05-23 16:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.