La escuela de los momiosDender v Charleroi
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Dender (Local)
Predicción 24.85%4.02momio equitativo
EV +2.14%
Ventaja +0.520%
Kelly +0.687%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.60%25.00%24.89%27.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.663.704.1130.30%27.34%27.03%24.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Charleroi (Visitante)
Predicción 47.63%2.10momio equitativo
EV +0.967%
Ventaja +0.456%
Kelly +0.864%
Crecimiento +0.008%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.33%47.45%47.60%49.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.971.982.1255.56%50.69%50.51%47.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.52%3.63momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -0.900%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.73%27.55%27.52%29.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.82%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.11I 24.33%NM 23.60%EV +2.14%E +0.520%K +0.687%G +0.015% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.99%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.54I 28.25%NM 27.40%EV -2.57%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| Pinnacle | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.07%EV -0.099%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.596%E -0.149%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.596%E -0.149%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| NordicBet | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Betsson | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Everygame | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Suprabets | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -7.25%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.08%E -4.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.97%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| DraftKings | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Fanatics | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Bet Victor | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Coral | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| BetUS | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| BetAnything | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| Coolbet | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.94%E -5.85%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 17:04 |
| 888sport | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Paddy Power | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Casumo | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| PlayUp | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.08%E -4.19%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Sky Bet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Unibet | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV +0.967%E +0.456%K +0.864%G +0.008% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-07 16:45 |
| William Hill | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-07 16:52 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -9.51%E -5.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-07 16:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -11.89%E -6.43%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |
| SportsBet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -11.42%E -6.14%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.65%EV -13.52%E -3.88%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%EV -11.10%E -3.44%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-07 16:58 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.683%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 16:19 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.683%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 16:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -8.56%E -4.46%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -1.89%E -0.918%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-07 16:45 |
| Grosvenor | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 16:19 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-07 16:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -14.27%E -7.93%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -20.73%E -7.20%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -16.75%E -5.00%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-07 16:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-07 16:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -9.51%E -5.01%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-07 16:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.33% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.96% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 0.6% | 2026-03-07 17:10 |
| Kalshi | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45% | 2.0% | 2026-03-07 16:49 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-03-07 17:09 |