مدرسة الاحتمالات

Dender v Charleroi

البداية: 2026-03-07 17:15 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Dender (المضيف)

التنبؤ 24.85%4.02السعر العادل
EV +2.14%
الأفضلية +0.520%
Kelly +0.687%
النمو +0.015%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.60%25.00%24.89%27.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.303.663.704.1130.30%27.34%27.03%24.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Charleroi (الضيف)

التنبؤ 47.63%2.10السعر العادل
EV +0.967%
الأفضلية +0.456%
Kelly +0.864%
النمو +0.008%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
45.33%47.45%47.60%49.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.801.971.982.1255.56%50.69%50.51%47.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 27.52%3.63السعر العادل
EV -2.29%
الأفضلية -0.646%
Kelly -0.900%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.55

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
26.73%27.55%27.52%29.52%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.883.353.403.5534.72%29.82%29.41%28.17%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet4.11I 24.33%NM 23.60%EV +2.14%E +0.520%K +0.687%G +0.015%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.99%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.40%EV -2.57%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-07 17:09
Pinnacle4.02I 24.88%NM 24.07%EV -0.099%E -0.025%K -0.033%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.89%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.04%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 17:10
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.596%E -0.149%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:04
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%EV -0.596%E -0.149%K -0.199%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.18%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 17:04
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:05
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 17:04
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 24.01%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.03%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 16:54
Suprabets3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.24%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.77%EV -7.25%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:54
Tipico (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -3.08%E -0.790%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -8.08%E -4.19%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:54
Marathon Bet3.84I 26.04%NM 24.30%EV -4.57%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.10%EV -7.61%E -3.92%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.97%E -2.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 17:04
DraftKings3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 16:54
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-07 16:49
Bet Victor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -5.57%E -1.46%K -1.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 16:49
BetMGM3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 16:54
Coral3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-07 16:49
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 17:05
BetAnything3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.94%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.02%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 17:04
Coolbet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 16:59
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -6.81%E -1.82%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.42%EV -10.94%E -5.85%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 16:49
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-07 17:04
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 17:00
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.80%E -2.33%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-07 16:49
PointsBet (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -7.13%E -3.66%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:04
888sport3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 16:49
888sport (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 16:50
Mr Green (SE)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.73%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-07 16:49
Paddy Power3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -8.05%E -2.18%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-07 16:54
ATG (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -9.29%E -2.55%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.00%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 17:10
Unibet (NL)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:10
Unibet (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.24%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.77%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -3.67%E -1.05%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 17:10
Unibet (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.40%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 16:49
Casumo3.60I 27.78%NM 26.02%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.83%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 17:10
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 25.17%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.95%EV -8.08%E -4.19%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 17:05
Sky Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.72%EV -10.54%E -2.93%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.58%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Unibet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.16%EV -11.78%E -3.32%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.91%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.92%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 17:10
Svenska Spel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.39%EV +0.967%E +0.456%K +0.864%G +0.008%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.11%EV -2.29%E -0.646%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 16:45
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -4.75%E -2.37%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 16:52
Parions Sport (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.00%EV -9.51%E -5.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-07 16:55
NetBet (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.09%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.47%EV -11.89%E -6.43%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.44%EV -11.93%E -3.73%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 17:09
SportsBet3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%EV -13.02%E -3.72%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.92%EV -11.42%E -6.14%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -14.68%E -4.74%K -6.99%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-07 16:54
Betclic (FR)3.48I 28.74%NM 25.65%EV -13.52%E -3.88%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.73%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.63%EV -11.10%E -3.44%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-07 16:58
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.683%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 16:19
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.45%EV -1.41%E -0.683%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 16:20
Winamax (DE)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.49%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.63%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-07 16:54
Virgin Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 26.03%EV -14.26%E -4.13%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.77%EV -8.56%E -4.46%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.21%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-07 17:10
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.39%EV -1.89%E -0.918%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -5.05%E -1.46%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-07 16:45
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:19
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.37%E -1.15%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-07 16:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 24.57%EV -15.51%E -4.56%K -6.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 46.42%EV -14.27%E -7.93%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.01%EV -20.73%E -7.20%K -11.03%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-07 17:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -16.75%E -5.00%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.51%EV -3.80%E -1.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.42%E -1.89%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-07 16:44
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.45%EV -5.70%E -2.88%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.17%E -2.78%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-07 16:20
Winamax (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 26.65%EV -17.99%E -5.45%K -7.82%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.29%EV -9.51%E -5.01%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -10.55%E -3.25%K -4.69%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-07 16:54
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.96%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-03-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-07 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-07 17:10
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.24%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.77%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%0.6%2026-03-07 17:10
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-03-07 16:49
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-03-07 17:09