La escuela de los momios

Club Brugge v Sint Truiden

Inicio: 2026-05-09 18:45 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 2–0 Sint Truiden

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Club Brugge (Local)

Predicción 67.25%1.49momio equitativo
EV -3.16%
Ventaja -2.20%
Kelly -7.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.05%67.23%67.35%70.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.381.381.4476.92%72.68%72.46%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sint Truiden (Visitante)

Predicción 14.51%6.89momio equitativo
EV +16.08%
Ventaja +2.01%
Kelly +2.30%
Crecimiento +0.369%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.65%14.46%14.42%16.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.506.626.508.0018.18%15.10%15.38%12.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 18.24%5.48momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.207%
Kelly -0.254%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.64%18.30%18.23%20.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.975.005.4225.00%20.13%20.00%18.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 68.68%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.19%EV +16.08%E +2.01%K +2.30%G +0.369%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 18:39
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 68.68%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.19%EV +16.08%E +2.01%K +2.30%G +0.369%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.12%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-09 18:39
BetRivers1.33I 75.19%NM 70.08%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +16.08%E +2.01%K +2.30%G +0.369%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:32
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 18:39
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 18:39
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:39
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:39
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:39
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:39
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:40
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 68.55%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.43%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.59%EV -9.89%E -7.38%K -29.08%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-09 18:39
PMU (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 68.76%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV +8.82%E +1.18%K +1.36%G +0.120%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.05%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-09 18:40
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.00%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.85%EV +5.92%E +0.811%K +0.940%G +0.056%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.15%EV -10.61%E -2.17%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 18:39
NordicBet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.58%EV -6.53%E -4.70%K -16.73%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.05%EV +4.47%E +0.621%K +0.721%G +0.032%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -11.52%E -2.38%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-09 18:29
Betr (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.57%E +0.224%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:05
Coolbet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.57%E +0.224%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:04
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV +1.57%E +0.224%K +0.262%G +0.004%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:05
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV +1.57%E +0.224%K +0.262%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -13.35%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:39
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 68.19%EV -11.23%E -8.51%K -35.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.86%EV +1.57%E +0.224%K +0.262%G +0.004%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.95%EV -13.35%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.37I 72.99%NM 67.71%EV -7.87%E -5.75%K -21.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -2.06%E -0.305%K -0.358%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 18:05
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.85%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.38%EV -2.78%E -0.415%K -0.488%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.78%EV -1.12%E -0.207%K -0.254%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 18:39
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.37%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.50%EV -2.93%E -0.438%K -0.515%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 18.13%EV -2.40%E -0.449%K -0.552%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-09 18:39
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 67.58%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.13%EV -4.23%E -0.642%K -0.756%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-09 18:39
DraftKings1.40I 71.43%NM 67.47%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.53%EV -5.69%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 17:54
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -5.69%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 18:34
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -5.69%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-09 18:36
betfred_uk1.36I 73.53%NM 67.51%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.69%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:04
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -12.58%E -9.68%K -41.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -5.69%E -0.875%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV -13.35%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-09 18:25
Suprabets1.39I 71.94%NM 67.36%EV -6.53%E -4.70%K -16.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.63%EV -7.14%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -5.14%E -0.988%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-09 18:31
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.14%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.14%E -0.988%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 18:29
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.14%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.14%E -0.988%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:49
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 67.52%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.56%EV -7.14%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -5.14%E -0.988%K -1.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 17:50
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 66.61%EV -3.84%E -2.68%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.24%EV -9.31%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.14%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-09 18:15
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 66.49%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.47%EV -9.31%E -1.49%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.04%EV -13.35%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-09 18:39
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 18:14
Unibet (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.74%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%EV -4.23%E -0.805%K -0.994%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-09 18:14
Bovada1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 18:39
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 66.08%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.42%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-09 18:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:04
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:05
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:05
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.57%EV -5.85%E -4.18%K -14.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-09 18:04
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-09 18:14
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 66.72%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.79%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.49%EV -12.43%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-09 18:39
Sky Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 66.19%EV -10.56%E -7.94%K -32.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.14%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-09 18:24
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 66.70%EV -12.58%E -9.68%K -41.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.45%EV -12.94%E -2.16%K -2.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.85%EV -16.08%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-09 18:24
Betclic (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.11%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.46%EV -14.39%E -2.44%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.43%EV -9.70%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 18:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.09%EV -3.16%E -2.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.16%EV -15.84%E -2.73%K -3.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.75%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 18:15
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.92%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.24%EV -18.74%E -3.35%K -4.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.84%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-09 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.72%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.49%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.78%EV -6.96%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 18:10
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 65.21%EV -8.54%E -6.28%K -23.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.67%EV -13.35%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-09 18:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 64.05%EV -12.58%E -9.68%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.14%EV -20.20%E -3.67%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.82%EV -27.03%E -6.76%K -9.01%G +0.000%20.1%2026-05-09 18:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.85%0.9%2026-05-09 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.28%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.03%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.69%0.9%2026-05-09 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-05-09 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-05-09 18:39
Matchbook1.42I 70.42%NM 69.66%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.66%1.1%2026-05-09 18:39
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.50%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.80%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.69%2.8%2026-05-09 18:40