The School of Odds
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Club Brugge v Sint Truiden

Kickoff: 2026-10-25 15:00 UTC

Final: Club Brugge 3–2 Sint Truiden

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Club Brugge (Local)

Prediction 72.46%1.38fair odd
EV -5.08%
Edge -3.87%
Kelly -16.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.00%72.43%72.66%75.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.281.3183.33%78.75%78.13%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sint Truiden (Visit)

Prediction 11.85%8.44fair odd
EV +7.84%
Edge +0.862%
Kelly +0.969%
Growth +0.076%

assuming max odds 9.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.29%11.85%11.72%13.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.507.888.009.1015.38%12.69%12.50%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 15.69%6.37fair odd
EV +5.57%
Edge +0.828%
Kelly +0.973%
Growth +0.054%

assuming max odds 6.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.29%15.72%15.63%17.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.845.756.7320.00%17.13%17.39%14.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Club Brugge (Local): 72.46%; Sint Truiden (Visit): 11.85%; Draw: 15.69%. For Sint Truiden (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.44. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.84%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.29%EV +7.84%E +0.862%K +0.969%G +0.076%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -11.37%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 14:54
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.14%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.29%EV +7.84%E +0.862%K +0.969%G +0.076%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.57%EV -11.37%E -2.01%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 14:52
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.38%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.74%EV +6.66%E +0.740%K +0.832%G +0.055%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +1.97%E +0.302%K +0.357%G +0.007%3.4%2026-10-25 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.38%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.74%EV +6.66%E +0.740%K +0.832%G +0.055%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.88%EV +1.97%E +0.302%K +0.357%G +0.007%3.4%2026-10-25 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.69%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV +6.66%E +0.740%K +0.832%G +0.055%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV +1.97%E +0.302%K +0.357%G +0.007%6.5%2026-10-25 14:52
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.60%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%8.59I 11.64%NM 11.14%EV +1.80%E +0.210%K +0.237%G +0.004%6.27I 15.95%NM 15.26%EV -1.64%E -0.262%K -0.312%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-25 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +0.734%E +0.086%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:40
Casumo🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +0.734%E +0.086%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:40
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +0.734%E +0.086%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.32%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +0.734%E +0.086%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 14:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +0.734%E +0.086%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +1.97%E +0.302%K +0.357%G +0.007%7.1%2026-10-25 14:21
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.66%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.69%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.98%EV +0.734%E +0.086%K +0.098%G +0.001%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +1.97%E +0.302%K +0.357%G +0.007%7.1%2026-10-25 14:54
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.56%EV -13.05%E -10.87%K -65.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.39%EV +0.734%E +0.086%K +0.098%G +0.001%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-25 14:45
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.07%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.34%EV -2.23%E -0.270%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 14:15
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.97%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%8.19I 12.21%NM 11.74%EV -2.94%E -0.359%K -0.409%G +0.000%6.73I 14.86%NM 14.29%EV +5.57%E +0.828%K +0.973%G +0.054%4.0%2026-10-25 14:54
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 14:54
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 14:26
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 14:45
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.80%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 14:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.72%EV -7.25%E -5.66%K -25.89%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.64%EV -6.66%E -1.12%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 14:53
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.80%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.80%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.64%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.45%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.92%EV -9.80%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 14:15
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.28%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.69%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.29%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-25 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.71%EV -12.32%E -10.18%K -58.67%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.00%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.29%EV -15.29%E -2.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.7%2026-10-25 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 73.09%EV -13.05%E -10.87%K -65.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 10.96%EV -5.19%E -0.649%K -0.742%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.95%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 14:45
PlayUp🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 72.02%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.69%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.62%EV -8.15%E -1.05%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-25 14:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.03%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.23%EV -9.93%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.45%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:53
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.03%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.23%EV -9.93%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.45%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:54
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.03%EV -6.52%E -5.06%K -22.50%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.23%EV -9.93%E -1.31%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.75%EV -7.45%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-25 14:53
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.24%EV -5.08%E -3.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.62%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.14%EV -1.96%E -0.313%K -0.372%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-25 14:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 14:53
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 14:55
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.47%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-25 14:55
BetUS🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.30%EV -5.08%E -3.87%K -16.37%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.45%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.24%EV -9.80%E -1.70%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-25 14:26
888sport🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 14:21
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 14:21
888sport (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 14:22
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -5.80%E -4.46%K -19.33%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-25 14:21
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.15%E -2.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.79%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.45%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.06%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.15%EV -12.15%E -2.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-25 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.11%EV -10.15%E -8.18%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -12.15%E -2.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.11%EV -10.15%E -8.18%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -12.15%E -2.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.11%EV -10.15%E -8.18%K -42.28%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.92%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.97%EV -12.15%E -2.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-25 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.06%EV -10.87%E -8.84%K -47.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 11.82%EV -11.12%E -1.48%K -1.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.12%EV -13.72%E -2.49%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.8%2026-10-25 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 71.98%EV -10.87%E -8.84%K -47.27%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.21%EV -14.08%E -1.94%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.81%EV -12.15%E -2.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-25 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.00%EV -9.42%E -7.54%K -37.69%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.50%EV -17.04%E -2.43%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.50%EV -21.56%E -4.31%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-25 14:53
Unibet (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 72.00%EV -12.32%E -10.18%K -58.67%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.45%EV -17.04%E -2.43%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.56%EV -12.15%E -2.17%K -2.64%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-25 14:36
Winamax (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.44%EV -7.97%E -6.28%K -29.53%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.44%EV -20.01%E -2.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV -5.88%E -0.980%K -1.18%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-25 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 70.75%EV -10.15%E -8.18%K -42.28%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.00%EV -20.01%E -2.96%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.25%EV -15.29%E -2.83%K -3.47%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-25 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 71.05%EV -8.70%E -6.90%K -33.45%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.77%EV -22.97%E -3.53%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.17%EV -7.45%E -1.26%K -1.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-25 14:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.91%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%0.6%2026-10-25 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.91%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%0.6%2026-10-25 14:53
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.91%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%0.6%2026-10-25 14:54
Matchbook◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.91%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.47%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.62%0.6%2026-10-25 14:54
Smarkets◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.5%2026-10-25 14:54
Kalshi◎1.30I 76.92%NM 74.74%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.69%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.57%2.9%2026-10-25 14:45

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