The School of Odds
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Charleroi v RAAL La Louvière

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:15 UTC

Final: Charleroi 5–2 RAAL La Louvière

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Charleroi (Local)

Prediction 58.70%1.70fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -5.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.06%58.69%58.78%61.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.561.571.6468.97%64.06%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visit)

Prediction 17.49%5.72fair odd
EV +4.92%
Edge +0.821%
Kelly +0.985%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.17%17.53%17.41%19.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.505.295.306.0022.22%18.92%18.87%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.81%4.20fair odd
EV +4.76%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 4.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.05%23.78%23.80%24.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.913.904.4027.78%25.57%25.64%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Charleroi (Local): 58.70%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 17.49%; Draw: 23.81%. For RAAL La Louvière (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.72. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.92%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +4.92%E +0.821%K +0.985%G +0.049%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +4.76%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.1%2026-11-01 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.79%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.17%EV +4.92%E +0.821%K +0.985%G +0.049%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.05%EV +4.76%E +1.08%K +1.40%G +0.067%3.1%2026-11-01 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:10
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:10
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.68%EV -2.07%E -0.370%K -0.450%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -0.002%E -0.001%K -0.001%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 18:10
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.33%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.37%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.30%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.769%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:30
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.63%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.769%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 12:10
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.39%EV -11.36%E -7.52%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.37%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.24%EV -2.38%E -0.581%K -0.769%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 18:00
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.60%EV -3.73%E -2.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.37I 18.62%NM 17.90%EV -6.09%E -1.13%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.50%EV -2.62%E -0.641%K -0.848%G +0.000%4.0%2026-11-01 18:05
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.14%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 15:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.39%EV -0.321%E -0.056%K -0.068%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 18:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.31%EV -8.42%E -5.40%K -15.04%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.95%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 15:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.15%EV -11.36%E -7.52%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -7.32%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 18:10
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 60.15%EV -11.36%E -7.52%K -22.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.14%EV -7.32%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.71%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 18:10
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -7.32%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 18:10
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.89%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -7.32%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -4.76%E -1.19%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 18:10
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.98%EV -3.73%E -2.27%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.83I 17.15%NM 16.59%EV +1.95%E +0.335%K +0.404%G +0.008%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.43%EV -5.72%E -1.44%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-01 18:10
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.32%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.95%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 18:10
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.58%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -7.32%E -1.38%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.73%EV -5.95%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -12.53%E -8.41%K -25.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -5.95%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -12.53%E -8.41%K -25.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -5.95%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.20%EV -12.53%E -8.41%K -25.57%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.71%EV -5.95%E -1.51%K -2.02%G +0.000%11.5%2026-11-01 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.06%EV -4.69%E -0.861%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.72%EV -6.67%E -1.70%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 17:45
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.63%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.16%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.20%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 17:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 17:50
BetUS🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.21%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.91%EV -9.07%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:35
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.23%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:30
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.46%EV -6.66%E -4.19%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.19%E -1.56%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 60.25%EV -13.71%E -9.32%K -29.16%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.03%EV -9.07%E -1.74%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.71%EV -7.15%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-01 18:10
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.59%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -8.34%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:49
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.07%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.56%EV -15.19%E -3.13%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -8.34%E -2.17%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 18:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 17:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 17:55
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.08%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -5.57%E -1.03%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 17:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.41%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -3.82%E -0.694%K -0.849%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 17:58
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.21%EV -9.01%E -5.81%K -16.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.74%EV -9.53%E -2.51%K -3.40%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 15:10
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 17:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 57.37%EV -10.77%E -7.09%K -20.71%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -21.31%E -4.73%K -6.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.25%EV -10.72%E -2.86%K -3.90%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-01 15:40
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 17:50
William Hill🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -6.07%E -3.80%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 17:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.64%EV -11.94%E -7.96%K -23.89%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 58.05%EV -11.36%E -7.52%K -22.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.26%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.69%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 17:48
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 59.03%EV -14.88%E -10.26%K -33.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.83%EV -16.06%E -3.35%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.13%EV -11.91%E -3.22%K -4.41%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-01 17:49
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.77%EV -10.18%E -6.66%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.68%EV -12.56%E -2.51%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.55%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 18:00
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 58.13%EV -10.77%E -7.09%K -20.71%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.33%EV -10.81%E -2.12%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -14.29%E -3.97%K -5.50%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.47%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-11-01 18:00
Kalshi◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.68%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.52%2.0%2026-11-01 17:45
Smarkets◎1.64I 60.98%NM 59.76%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.33%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.90%2.0%2026-11-01 18:05

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