L’École des cotes

Charleroi v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 18:34 UTC

Score final : Charleroi 1–1 Leuven

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 64.64%1.55cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -6.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.11%64.53%64.68%65.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.351.441.441.5074.07%69.49%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.92%6.70cote équitable
EV +1.73%
Avantage +0.254%
Kelly +0.298%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 6.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.12%15.01%14.89%16.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.016.006.8218.52%16.63%16.67%14.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.44%4.89cote équitable
EV +0.159%
Avantage +0.032%
Kelly +0.041%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.54%20.46%20.43%22.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.474.504.9026.67%22.39%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.85%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.12%EV +1.73%E +0.254%K +0.298%G +0.005%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.93%EV -1.27%E -0.263%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 18:29
Suprabets1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 18:27
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:30
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:29
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:29
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:29
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 18:29
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 18:29
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 18:30
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 18:29
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 18:29
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -5.28%E -0.831%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -4.95%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 18:29
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.02%E -0.956%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.02%E -0.956%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:30
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -6.77%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 18:30
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -3.04%E -2.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.76%EV -8.41%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV +0.159%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 18:29
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -3.04%E -2.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -9.01%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:30
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.87%EV -3.04%E -2.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 18:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 18:30
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.07%EV -5.62%E -3.85%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:28
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 18:30
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 18:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 18:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -8.85%E -6.28%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 18:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.03%EV -10.15%E -7.30%K -26.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.32%EV -11.99%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.73%E -9.43%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -11.99%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:29
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 18:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 18:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.26%EV -10.15%E -7.30%K -26.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -14.97%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -9.04%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 18:29
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 18:17
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 18:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 18:30
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 18:30
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.64%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -13.13%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 18:30
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -12.09%E -8.89%K -33.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.11%EV -12.09%E -8.89%K -33.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -23.35%E -6.23%K -8.49%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-19 18:30
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.46%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -19.45%E -3.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.47%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -19.45%E -3.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -16.19%E -3.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-19 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.47%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -19.45%E -3.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -16.19%E -3.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-19 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.56%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%0.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.04%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.04%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.04%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%3.0%2026-05-19 18:30