La escuela de los momios

Charleroi v Leuven

Inicio: 2026-05-19 18:34 UTC

Final: Charleroi 1–1 Leuven

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Predicción 64.64%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -6.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.11%64.53%64.68%65.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.441.441.5074.07%69.49%69.44%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Leuven (Visitante)

Predicción 14.92%6.70momio equitativo
EV +1.73%
Ventaja +0.254%
Kelly +0.298%
Crecimiento +0.005%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.82

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.12%15.01%14.89%16.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.406.016.006.8218.52%16.63%16.67%14.66%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.44%4.89momio equitativo
EV +0.159%
Ventaja +0.032%
Kelly +0.041%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.54%20.46%20.43%22.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.474.504.9026.67%22.39%22.22%20.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.46I 68.49%NM 65.95%EV -5.62%E -3.85%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.82I 14.66%NM 14.12%EV +1.73%E +0.254%K +0.298%G +0.005%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.93%EV -1.27%E -0.263%K -0.332%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-19 18:29
Suprabets1.44I 69.44%NM 65.01%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 18:27
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:30
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:29
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:29
BetAnything1.42I 70.42%NM 65.91%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.18%EV -1.55%E -0.235%K -0.277%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.91%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:29
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.24%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.63%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 65.16%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 18:29
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.87%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 18:29
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.32%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.31%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 18:30
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.03%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 18:29
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.48%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.31%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -3.04%E -0.468%K -0.553%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-19 18:29
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.24%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%6.35I 15.75%NM 14.69%EV -5.28%E -0.831%K -0.987%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -4.95%E -1.06%K -1.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 18:29
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.02%E -0.956%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 63.64%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -6.02%E -0.956%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.41%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 18:30
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.19%EV -6.77%E -1.08%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.64%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 18:30
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.50%EV -3.04%E -2.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.14I 16.29%NM 15.76%EV -8.41%E -1.37%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.74%EV +0.159%E +0.032%K +0.041%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-19 18:29
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.90%EV -3.04%E -2.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.71%EV -9.01%E -1.48%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.39%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-19 18:30
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.87%EV -3.04%E -2.02%K -6.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.76%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 18:30
betPARX1.48I 67.57%NM 63.47%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.66%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.87%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.64%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.73%EV -2.91%E -0.612%K -0.775%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 18:30
Bovada1.46I 68.49%NM 64.07%EV -5.62%E -3.85%K -12.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.59%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-19 18:28
DraftKings1.44I 69.44%NM 64.39%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.16%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 18:30
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-19 18:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 18:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 18:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.81%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.88%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 65.15%EV -8.85%E -6.28%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.93%E -0.836%K -1.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-19 18:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 63.59%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.26%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.15%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -10.50%E -1.75%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 65.03%EV -10.15%E -7.30%K -26.02%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.32%EV -11.99%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.65%EV -5.97%E -1.30%K -1.66%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 18:30
NetBet (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 65.12%EV -12.73%E -9.43%K -36.38%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.90%EV -11.99%E -2.03%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.98%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -4.33%E -2.92%K -9.02%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -13.48%E -2.32%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -8.02%E -1.78%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 18:29
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 63.22%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.94%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.83%EV -10.06%E -2.29%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-19 18:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 62.60%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.79%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.61%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 18:30
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 63.42%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.44%EV -14.23%E -2.47%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.14%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-19 18:30
Unibet (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.26%EV -10.15%E -7.30%K -26.02%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.67%EV -14.97%E -2.63%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.07%EV -9.04%E -2.03%K -2.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-19 18:29
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 62.62%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.87%EV -11.08%E -2.55%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-19 18:17
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.47%EV -6.27%E -4.32%K -13.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.47%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.06%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-19 18:30
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -11.49%E -2.65%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-19 18:30
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 18:30
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 62.63%EV -6.91%E -4.80%K -15.71%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.97%EV -12.11%E -2.82%K -3.67%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-19 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.64%EV -7.56%E -5.29%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.29%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.08%EV -13.13%E -3.09%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-19 18:30
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.65%EV -12.09%E -8.89%K -33.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.74%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.61%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%15.5%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 62.11%EV -12.09%E -8.89%K -33.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.36%EV -17.96%E -3.27%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.53%EV -23.35%E -6.23%K -8.49%G +0.000%18.4%2026-05-19 18:30
PMU (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.46%EV -8.21%E -5.78%K -19.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%EV -19.45%E -3.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.12%EV -14.15%E -3.37%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.47%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -19.45%E -3.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -16.19%E -3.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-19 18:30
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 62.47%EV -9.50%E -6.79%K -23.75%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.20%EV -19.45%E -3.60%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -16.19%E -3.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-19 18:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%NM 66.56%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.87%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.58%0.2%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.04%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.04%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.04%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.15%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-05-19 18:30
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 65.50%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.45%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.05%1.8%2026-05-19 18:30
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.04%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.62%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.34%3.0%2026-05-19 18:30