L’École des cotes

Charleroi v Leuven

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Charleroi (Local)

Prévision 52.20%1.92cote équitable
EV -4.47%
Avantage -2.44%
Kelly -5.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.94%52.24%52.19%53.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.771.781.8361.73%56.49%56.18%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leuven (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.33%4.48cote équitable
EV +4.08%
Avantage +0.875%
Kelly +1.11%
Croissance +0.045%

avec la cote maximale 4.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.68%22.31%22.41%23.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.194.204.6626.67%23.89%23.81%21.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.47%3.93cote équitable
EV -2.72%
Avantage -0.713%
Kelly -0.965%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.53%25.45%25.40%26.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.653.8232.26%27.59%27.40%26.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.83%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.68%EV +4.08%E +0.875%K +1.11%G +0.045%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.49%EV -3.74%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-14 14:45
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV +0.504%E +0.112%K +0.144%G +0.001%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Suprabets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV +0.504%E +0.112%K +0.144%G +0.001%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -7.56%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:48
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.93%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.72%EV -0.390%E -0.087%K -0.113%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -2.72%E -0.713%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-14 14:50
BetOnline.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.84%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -1.73%E -0.393%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 14:40
LowVig.ag1.82I 54.95%NM 52.84%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -1.73%E -0.393%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-14 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -1.73%E -0.393%K -0.509%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 14:50
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.39%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.85%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:15
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.39%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.85%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-14 14:15
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.35%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 14:15
Unibet (NL)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.35%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-14 14:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-14 14:15
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.31%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:35
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:15
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:25
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-14 14:25
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:50
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:50
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 14:19
BetRivers1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:39
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:40
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:44
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:45
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:15
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:15
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-14 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 14:40
William Hill1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 14:40
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-14 14:40
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 14:55
Paddy Power1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-14 14:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:25
LiveScore Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 14:15
Virgin Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-14 14:15
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82%EV -13.35%E -8.04%K -20.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-14 14:55
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:10
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:10
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-14 12:05
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 14:50
NetBet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.48%EV -12.30%E -7.32%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -11.78%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.28%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -12.23%E -3.11%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -11.38%E -3.27%K -4.59%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-14 14:33
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-14 14:19
Parions Sport (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.15%EV -12.30%E -7.32%K -18.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.46%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.19%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000%13.4%2026-03-14 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -15.44%E -9.53%K -24.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -21.06%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000%20.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-03-14 14:50
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-03-14 14:55
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.94%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17%1.9%2026-03-14 14:55
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%2.9%2026-03-14 14:40