La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Charleroi v Leuven
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Charleroi (Local)
Predicción 52.20%1.92momio equitativo
EV -4.47%
Ventaja -2.44%
Kelly -5.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.94%52.24%52.19%53.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.771.781.8361.73%56.49%56.18%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leuven (Visitante)
Predicción 22.33%4.48momio equitativo
EV +4.08%
Ventaja +0.875%
Kelly +1.11%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.68%22.31%22.41%23.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.194.204.6626.67%23.89%23.81%21.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.47%3.93momio equitativo
EV -2.72%
Ventaja -0.713%
Kelly -0.965%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.82
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.53%25.45%25.40%26.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.653.8232.26%27.59%27.40%26.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.83%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.68%EV +4.08%E +0.875%K +1.11%G +0.045% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.49%EV -3.74%E -0.990%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.52%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.81%EV +0.504%E +0.112%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Suprabets | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.45%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV +0.504%E +0.112%K +0.144%G +0.001% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.77%EV -7.56%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:48 |
| 1xBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.93%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.72%EV -0.390%E -0.087%K -0.113%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 25.36%EV -2.72%E -0.713%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.84%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -1.73%E -0.393%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.84%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.86%EV -1.73%E -0.393%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.26%EV -1.73%E -0.393%K -0.509%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.39%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.85%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.39%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -2.85%E -0.654%K -0.850%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.57%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.67%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.05%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.35%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.35%EV -5.52%E -3.05%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.71%EV -4.47%E -2.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.29%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.69%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -3.96%E -0.922%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.62%EV -7.31%E -2.01%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Casumo | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| betPARX | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.36%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.17%EV -5.08%E -1.20%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.47%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| Betsson | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.76%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.58%EV -5.00%E -2.74%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.18%EV -6.56%E -3.67%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.24%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.59%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.27%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:39 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:44 |
| BetAnything | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.64%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Unibet | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.32%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.17%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.41%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -8.32%E -2.31%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 888sport | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| William Hill | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.78%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.90%EV -11.26%E -6.62%K -16.08%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -6.20%E -1.48%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-14 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -7.08%E -3.98%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.33%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.95%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 52.82%EV -13.35%E -8.04%K -20.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.39%EV -8.43%E -2.06%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -3.23%E -0.850%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.04%E -3.36%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -5.78%E -1.56%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.61%EV -8.65%E -4.94%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.94%EV -7.61%E -4.30%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -10.66%E -2.67%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -13.42%E -3.95%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.48%EV -12.30%E -7.32%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -11.78%E -2.98%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.19%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.62%EV -9.69%E -5.60%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 22.72%EV -12.23%E -3.11%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.66%EV -11.38%E -3.27%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-14 14:33 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.72%EV -8.13%E -4.62%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.94%EV -7.05%E -1.93%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 14:19 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.15%EV -12.30%E -7.32%K -18.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.46%EV -12.90%E -3.31%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.39%EV -12.14%E -3.52%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.28%EV -10.22%E -5.94%K -14.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.52%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -10.87%E -3.11%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 51.16%EV -15.44%E -9.53%K -24.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.10%EV -16.25%E -4.33%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.74%EV -21.06%E -6.79%K -10.03%G +0.000% | 20.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.21% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.94% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.89% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.17% | 1.9% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.40% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.36% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24% | 2.9% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |