The School of Odds
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Cercle Brugge KSV v Westerlo

2026-11-20 19:45 UTC — Belgium First Div

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prediction 47.37%2.11fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.02%47.37%47.35%48.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.961.952.0555.25%51.06%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Westerlo (Visit)

Prediction 28.99%3.45fair odd
EV -4.33%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.29%28.93%29.12%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.113.203.3035.71%32.15%31.25%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.63%4.23fair odd
EV -3.10%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.02%23.70%23.53%24.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.793.804.1029.85%26.36%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 47.37%; Westerlo (Visit): 28.99%; Draw: 23.63%. For Cercle Brugge KSV (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -2.88%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -2.88%E -1.41%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.78%E -1.78%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-09 13:59
Pinnacle🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.25%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.19%EV -5.20%E -1.59%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.57%EV -4.28%E -1.06%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-09 21:35
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:04
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.24%EV -4.30%E -2.13%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.58%EV -10.19%E -2.68%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 14:04
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.51%EV -4.78%E -2.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.03%EV -4.62%E -1.40%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.46%EV -3.81%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-09 13:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -7.15%E -3.65%K -7.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -7.23%E -2.26%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.49%EV -6.41%E -1.62%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-09 12:50
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -3.10%E -0.756%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-09 13:15
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -7.62%E -3.91%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -11.37%E -3.03%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-09 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.20%EV -8.09%E -4.17%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.77%EV -17.37%E -6.10%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.03%EV -13.74%E -3.76%K -5.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-09 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.37%EV -8.57%E -4.44%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.33%E -1.31%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -5.46%E -1.37%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-09 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.34%EV -9.99%E -5.26%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.91%EV -16.50%E -5.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 24.75%EV -17.75%E -5.10%K -7.16%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-09 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 45.02%EV -9.99%E -5.26%K -11.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.55%EV -18.82%E -6.72%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.44%EV -17.28%E -4.94%K -6.91%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-09 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 45.73%EV -14.25%E -7.87%K -17.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.56%EV -18.82%E -6.72%K -10.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 24.71%EV -20.83%E -6.22%K -8.86%G +0.000%20.8%2026-11-09 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 44.59%2.86I 34.97%NM 30.09%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%16.2%2026-11-09 14:00

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