Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV v SV Zulte-Waregem

Kickoff: 2026-05-01 18:45 UTC

Final: Cercle Brugge KSV 2–3 SV Zulte-Waregem

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prediction 49.87%2.01fair odd
EV -1.76%
Edge -0.891%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.05%49.84%49.86%50.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.871.871.9757.80%53.54%53.48%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit)

Prediction 25.96%3.85fair odd
EV -0.317%
Edge -0.083%
Kelly -0.112%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.60%25.92%26.00%27.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.583.603.8431.25%27.94%27.78%26.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.530%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.53%24.23%24.13%25.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.763.804.0731.25%26.57%26.32%24.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 49.87%; SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit): 25.96%; Draw: 24.17%. For SV Zulte-Waregem (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.84, with an expected value of -0.317%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -1.76%E -0.891%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.09%EV -1.76%E -0.891%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.79%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.12%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-01 18:40
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.28%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.84%EV -1.63%E -0.400%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-01 18:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.10%EV -3.75%E -1.94%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.94%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:40
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:40
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -4.25%E -2.21%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-01 18:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:15
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 18:14
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -4.75%E -2.49%K -5.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:09
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.83%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.15%EV -0.317%E -0.083%K -0.112%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.02%EV -2.83%E -0.705%K -0.939%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-01 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.15%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.90%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:14
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -5.25%E -2.76%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:39
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.12%EV -5.74%E -3.04%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:40
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:05
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.07%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-01 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:30
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-01 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.94%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.47%EV -13.04%E -3.89%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.59%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -6.24%E -3.32%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.90%EV -7.85%E -2.21%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.19%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.71%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.29%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.01%EV -4.53%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-01 18:19
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.33%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -3.32%E -0.830%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-01 18:29
Bovada🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.05%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.31%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-01 18:23
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -6.55%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 18:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.66%EV -6.74%E -3.61%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.53%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-01 18:29
Suprabets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.19%EV -7.24%E -3.89%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.30%EV -4.21%E -1.14%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.50%EV -7.91%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-01 18:29
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -3.95%E -1.07%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 18:19
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.32%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.50%EV -5.25%E -1.44%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.18%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-01 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.09%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.56%EV -11.22%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.35%EV -9.84%E -2.64%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%EV -7.74%E -4.18%K -9.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -11.78%E -3.23%K -4.44%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-01 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:20
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -1.36%E -0.357%K -0.484%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-01 18:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.91%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.09%EV -10.44%E -3.03%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-01 18:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.62%EV -8.24%E -4.48%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -15.63%E -4.81%K -6.95%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.86%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-01 18:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.93%EV -8.74%E -4.77%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -2.65%E -0.708%K -0.965%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -6.94%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -8.74%E -4.77%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-01 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.74%E -4.77%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-01 18:30
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -10.23%E -5.69%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -9.36%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-01 18:05
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -10.23%E -5.69%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -4.99%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-01 18:20
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -10.23%E -5.69%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -9.14%E -2.61%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.35%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-01 18:19
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.03%EV -11.73%E -6.63%K -15.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%EV -10.57%E -2.86%K -3.91%G +0.000%12.9%2026-05-01 18:19
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 49.64%EV -12.73%E -7.27%K -16.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -11.74%E -3.45%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -15.40%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-01 18:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 48.05%EV -13.72%E -7.93%K -18.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.98%EV -16.93%E -5.29%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 25.98%EV -22.65%E -7.08%K -10.30%G +0.000%20.3%2026-05-01 18:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.65%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.13%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-01 18:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-05-01 18:20
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.35%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-05-01 18:25
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.31%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-05-01 18:25
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.46%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.50%2.0%2026-05-01 18:34