The School of Odds
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Cercle Brugge KSV v Royal Antwerp

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 12:30 UTC

Final: Cercle Brugge KSV 2–1 Royal Antwerp

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prediction 44.13%2.27fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.26%44.18%44.19%45.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.892.082.102.2252.91%48.04%47.62%45.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Royal Antwerp (Visit)

Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV -0.036%
Edge -0.011%
Kelly -0.015%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.61%29.36%29.37%30.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.143.153.4034.48%31.89%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.46%3.78fair odd
EV -0.760%
Edge -0.203%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.46%26.44%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.483.503.7530.77%28.74%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 44.13%; Royal Antwerp (Visit): 29.40%; Draw: 26.46%. For Royal Antwerp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.401. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.400, with an expected value of -0.036%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.26%EV -2.02%E -0.910%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.92%EV -5.62%E -1.75%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -5.26%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-11-01 12:29
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -2.90%E -1.32%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.50%EV -3.27%E -0.994%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.38%EV -2.61%E -0.710%K -0.975%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -0.760%E -0.203%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-01 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%EV -3.79%E -1.74%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%EV -0.760%E -0.203%K -0.276%G +0.000%2.8%2026-11-01 12:00
DraftKings🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.91%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -6.05%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-01 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-01 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 12:20
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 12:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 12:25
BetAnything🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 43.86%EV -5.55%E -2.59%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 12:25
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.00%EV -6.43%E -3.03%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 12:24
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 08:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:04
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:04
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 08:55
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 11:05
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 12:18
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.65%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -5.92%E -1.85%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -2.98%E -0.902%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-01 12:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 12:29
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.05%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:05
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.05%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:00
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.28%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.52%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -6.05%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 12:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -4.73%E -1.31%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 12:29
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 12:25
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.88%EV -8.64%E -4.17%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 12:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.88%EV -8.64%E -4.17%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 12:00
Grosvenor🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 43.88%EV -8.64%E -4.17%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.78%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.33%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 12:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.57%EV -9.08%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -0.036%E -0.011%K -0.015%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 12:29
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -9.08%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 12:05
TABtouch🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.00%EV -9.08%E -4.41%K -8.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.72%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.27%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 12:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.38%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -4.45%E -1.37%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.99%EV -5.26%E -1.47%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 08:50
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -8.86%E -2.86%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-01 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -10.33%E -3.39%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -8.70%E -2.52%K -3.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -9.52%E -4.65%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.4%2026-11-01 12:18
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.86%EV -9.96%E -4.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.86%EV -9.96%E -4.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.86%EV -9.96%E -4.88%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 12:00
PlayUp🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.73%EV -10.85%E -5.37%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.69%EV -7.39%E -2.34%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 43.93%EV -10.85%E -5.37%K -10.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.49%EV -11.35%E -3.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 12:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.38%E -2.11%K -2.95%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 12:29
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.35%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.57%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -10.02%E -2.95%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.7%2026-11-01 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -13.99%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 12:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -11.73%E -5.87%K -11.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -14.74%E -5.08%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -12.67%E -3.84%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.8%2026-11-01 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.42%EV -12.61%E -6.37%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.26%EV -11.35%E -3.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 12:25
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.33%EV -13.05%E -6.63%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.60%EV -13.27%E -4.50%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -11.35%E -3.39%K -4.83%G +0.000%14.5%2026-11-01 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 45.22%EV -16.58%E -8.78%K -18.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.49%EV -11.80%E -3.93%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.30%EV -13.99%E -4.31%K -6.22%G +0.000%17.0%2026-11-01 12:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.85%0.5%2026-11-01 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-11-01 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-11-01 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 44.88%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.65%1.3%2026-11-01 12:25
Smarkets◎2.18I 45.87%NM 44.96%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.25%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.79%2.0%2026-11-01 12:25
Kalshi◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.14%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.44%2.1%2026-11-01 12:10

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