Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV v RAAL La Louvière

Kickoff: 2026-03-15 18:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Cercle Brugge KSV (Local)

Prediction 48.29%2.07fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.17%48.28%48.18%49.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.942.0255.56%51.92%51.68%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

RAAL La Louvière (Visit)

Prediction 24.58%4.07fair odd
EV +0.761%
Edge +0.186%
Kelly +0.246%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.28%24.55%24.64%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.803.804.1029.85%26.28%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.14%3.69fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.719%
Kelly -0.997%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.44%27.17%27.18%28.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.5932.26%29.54%29.41%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cercle Brugge KSV (Local): 48.29%; RAAL La Louvière (Visit): 24.58%; Draw: 27.14%. For RAAL La Louvière (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.07. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.761%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV +0.761%E +0.186%K +0.246%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 18:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.45%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.28%EV +0.761%E +0.186%K +0.246%G +0.002%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-15 18:00
BetUS🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.04%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.07I 24.57%NM 23.74%EV +0.024%E +0.006%K +0.008%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.67%E -1.03%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 18:00
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.79%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.91%EV -0.713%E -0.177%K -0.235%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.29%EV -3.94%E -1.11%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-15 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -1.70%E -0.424%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 17:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.46%EV -4.87%E -2.47%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.87%EV -1.70%E -0.424%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-15 17:50
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -1.70%E -0.424%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-15 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -1.70%E -0.424%K -0.565%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -2.92%E -0.740%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.25%EV -5.35%E -2.73%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.94%EV -2.92%E -0.740%K -0.991%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:50
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 48.09%EV -2.46%E -1.22%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.91I 25.58%NM 24.85%EV -3.91%E -0.999%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.06%EV -2.58%E -0.719%K -0.997%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-15 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:00
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-15 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:50
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:50
betPARX🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.36%EV -6.32%E -3.26%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-15 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.29%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-15 17:50
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -4.15%E -1.07%K -1.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Suprabets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.42%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.02%EV -4.40%E -1.13%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -8.01%E -2.36%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.84%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.04%EV -4.65%E -1.20%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.12%EV -6.65%E -1.93%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:04
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:50
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.14%EV -6.80%E -3.53%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -5.38%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.73%EV -9.10%E -2.72%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-15 17:50
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.42%E -1.71%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-15 17:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:50
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:10
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-15 18:10
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.61%E -1.74%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-15 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -4.39%E -2.22%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 18:00
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 17:50
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -9.70%E -5.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 17:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -9.70%E -5.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 17:50
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.21%EV -9.70%E -5.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -7.84%E -2.09%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-15 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.84%E -2.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-15 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.50%EV -7.77%E -4.07%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -9.07%E -2.45%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -5.03%E -1.44%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-15 17:50
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.70%EV -8.25%E -4.34%K -9.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.83%EV -10.30%E -2.82%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 18:00
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -9.70%E -5.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -7.74%E -2.28%K -3.22%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.80%EV -10.67%E -5.77%K -12.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.56%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.63%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-15 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.06%EV -13.08%E -7.27%K -16.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.03%EV -11.53%E -3.20%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.88%E -5.12%K -7.56%G +0.000%15.6%2026-03-15 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.69%EV -9.70%E -5.19%K -11.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.12%EV -12.76%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.19%EV -11.00%E -3.35%K -4.82%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-15 18:04
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.91%EV -11.63%E -6.36%K -14.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.70%EV -12.76%E -3.59%K -5.00%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -13.17%E -4.11%K -5.98%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-15 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -7.29%E -3.79%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.98%E -4.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.38%E -1.85%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 48.08%EV -12.12%E -6.66%K -14.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.00%EV -13.98%E -4.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.92%EV -11.81%E -3.63%K -5.25%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -10.18%E -5.48%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -17.67%E -5.27%K -7.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.45%E -3.17%K -4.54%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-15 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-03-15 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-03-15 18:10
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.63%0.5%2026-03-15 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-03-15 18:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.35%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.62%2.0%2026-03-15 18:10
Kalshi1.96I 51.02%NM 49.53%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.28%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.19%3.0%2026-03-15 18:10