The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Anderlecht v Westerlo

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 19:45 UTC

Final: Anderlecht 4–1 Westerlo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Anderlecht (Local)

Prediction 60.44%1.65fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -2.06%
Kelly -5.50%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.06%60.41%60.60%62.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.531.541.6070.92%65.29%64.94%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Westerlo (Visit)

Prediction 18.52%5.40fair odd
EV +3.71%
Edge +0.662%
Kelly +0.806%
Growth +0.030%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.98%18.48%18.41%20.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.995.005.6023.26%20.05%20.00%17.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.04%4.75fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.510%
Kelly -0.650%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.25%21.11%21.00%22.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.314.334.6425.32%23.18%23.09%21.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anderlecht (Local): 60.44%; Westerlo (Visit): 18.52%; Draw: 21.04%. For Westerlo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.71%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93%EV -3.30%E -2.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41%EV +3.71%E +0.662%K +0.806%G +0.030%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-31 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.93%EV -3.30%E -2.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.41%EV +3.71%E +0.662%K +0.806%G +0.030%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.66%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.83%EV -5.72%E -3.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.38%EV +2.78%E +0.501%K +0.612%G +0.017%4.64I 21.55%NM 20.79%EV -2.37%E -0.510%K -0.650%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-31 19:35
BetUS🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.53%EV -5.11%E -3.26%K -8.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.56%EV +1.86%E +0.338%K +0.413%G +0.008%4.62I 21.65%NM 20.91%EV -2.79%E -0.603%K -0.770%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 19:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -9.34%E -6.23%K -18.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV +1.86%E +0.338%K +0.413%G +0.008%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 19:25
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.55%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -1.85%E -0.348%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:35
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.34%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.65%EV -1.85%E -0.348%K -0.429%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.01%EV -10.57%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:39
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.83%EV -5.72%E -3.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.09%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.14%EV -6.92%E -4.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.93%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.92%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-31 19:30
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 19:35
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.01%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 19:33
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.27%EV -3.90%E -2.45%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.43%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.30%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-31 19:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.57%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Casumo🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.57%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 19:25
betPARX🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.14%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.93%EV -10.57%E -2.49%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.24%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.64%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.07%EV -4.62%E -0.898%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 19:29
BetAnything🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.23%EV -5.72%E -3.66%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.42%EV -5.55%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.35%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 19:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.55%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.38%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.35%EV -5.55%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 19:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -3.21%E -0.698%K -0.891%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:30
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.44%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:29
William Hill🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.56%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.46%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-31 19:30
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.92%E -4.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.92%E -4.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.40%EV -6.92%E -4.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.29%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 19:25
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.97%E -9.01%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -12.97%E -9.01%K -29.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 19:35
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 19:25
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.33%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.53%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.83%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 19:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.16%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.35%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.83%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.32%EV -8.74%E -5.79%K -17.13%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.28%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -15.83%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 60.62%EV -12.36%E -8.53%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.94%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.44%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-31 19:40
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.21%EV -3.30%E -2.06%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -11.11%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.11%E -3.26%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.11%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.11%E -3.26%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.11%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:25
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.11%E -3.26%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.11%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:25
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.67%EV -5.11%E -3.26%K -8.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.11%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.82%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.25%EV -9.95%E -6.68%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.39%EV -11.11%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.35%EV -16.89%E -4.27%K -5.72%G +0.000%13.3%2026-10-31 19:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.85%EV -6.32%E -4.08%K -11.49%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -12.03%E -2.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 19:25
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.73%EV -6.92%E -4.50%K -12.82%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.36%EV -12.03%E -2.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -7.42%E -1.69%K -2.18%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 19:29
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.46%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.03%EV -12.03%E -2.53%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-31 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.94%EV -8.13%E -5.35%K -15.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.81%EV -14.81%E -3.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.25%EV -5.31%E -1.18%K -1.52%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 19:30
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.31%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -14.81%E -3.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.96%EV -8.89%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 19:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.74%EV -11.15%E -7.59%K -23.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.09%EV -14.81%E -3.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.16%EV -12.68%E -3.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-31 19:28
NetBet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.59%EV -11.15%E -7.59%K -23.73%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -14.81%E -3.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.37%EV -13.73%E -3.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-31 19:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 60.74%EV -14.78%E -10.48%K -36.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.62%EV -14.81%E -3.22%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.64%EV -12.68%E -3.05%K -4.02%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-31 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.53%EV -9.34%E -6.23%K -18.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.84%EV -16.66%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -8.89%E -2.05%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 19:30
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.06%EV -7.53%E -4.92%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.74%EV -16.66%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.21%EV -15.83%E -3.96%K -5.28%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-31 19:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 59.11%EV -11.15%E -7.59%K -23.73%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.21%EV -20.37%E -4.74%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.69%EV -11.63%E -2.77%K -3.63%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-31 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.47%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.69%0.7%2026-10-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-10-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-10-31 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.29%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.08%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.63%1.0%2026-10-31 19:40
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 62.67%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.40%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.93%1.6%2026-10-31 19:40
Kalshi◎1.59I 62.89%NM 61.73%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.65%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.62%1.9%2026-10-31 19:30