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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
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Anderlecht v SV Zulte-Waregem

Início: 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC

Final: Anderlecht 3–0 SV Zulte-Waregem

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Anderlecht (Local)

Previsão 54.64%1.83odd justa
EV -3.29%
Vantagem -1.86%
Kelly -4.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.41%54.67%54.66%56.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.03%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante)

Previsão 21.10%4.74odd justa
EV +11.81%
Vantagem +2.23%
Kelly +2.75%
Crescimento +0.324%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.17%20.95%21.19%22.70%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.004.564.505.3025.00%21.94%22.22%18.87%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.27%4.12odd justa
EV -1.72%
Vantagem -0.424%
Kelly -0.563%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.31%24.38%24.14%27.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.683.754.0530.77%27.14%26.67%24.69%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Anderlecht (Local): 54.64%; SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante): 21.10%; Empate: 24.27%. Para SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.74. 17 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.30, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +11.81%.

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV +11.81%E +2.23%K +2.75%G +0.324%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV +11.81%E +2.23%K +2.75%G +0.324%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:26
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV +11.81%E +2.23%K +2.75%G +0.324%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:26
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:26
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.23%EV +5.69%E +1.14%K +1.42%G +0.081%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.60%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 18:38
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +3.37%E +0.688%K +0.864%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:39
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:27
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:27
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:27
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:26
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:27
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -7.66%E -4.54%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +0.207%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:44
Suprabets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.83%EV -9.48%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -2.96%E -0.643%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.14%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 18:26
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.96%E -0.643%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 18:29
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -4.01%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:42
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -4.01%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -4.01%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:44
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.42%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.93%E -2.83%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:26
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 18:44
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -12.58%E -7.86%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -16.28%E -4.72%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 18:39
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.29%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -7.81%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.72%E -0.424%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:44
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 18:43
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.29%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -10.34%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:26
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.34%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.34%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -11.40%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -11.40%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:27
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.89%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -12.45%E -3.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.92%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -13.51%E -3.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -14.56%E -3.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 18:24
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:26
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:27
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:27
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 18:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%2.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-09-19 18:27