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Anderlecht v SV Zulte-Waregem

Inicio: 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC

Final: Anderlecht 3–0 SV Zulte-Waregem

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Anderlecht (Local)

Predicción 54.64%1.83momio equitativo
EV -3.29%
Ventaja -1.86%
Kelly -4.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.77

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.41%54.67%54.66%56.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.691.701.7762.50%59.03%58.82%56.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante)

Predicción 21.10%4.74momio equitativo
EV +11.81%
Ventaja +2.23%
Kelly +2.75%
Crecimiento +0.324%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.17%20.95%21.19%22.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.564.505.3025.00%21.94%22.22%18.87%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.27%4.12momio equitativo
EV -1.72%
Ventaja -0.424%
Kelly -0.563%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.31%24.38%24.14%27.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.683.754.0530.77%27.14%26.67%24.69%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Anderlecht (Local): 54.64%; SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante): 21.10%; Empate: 24.27%. Para SV Zulte-Waregem (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.74. 17 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 5.30, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +11.81%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Grosvenor🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV +11.81%E +2.23%K +2.75%G +0.324%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:26
ATG (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV +11.81%E +2.23%K +2.75%G +0.324%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:26
Svenska Spel🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.71%EV -3.84%E -2.18%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.17%EV +11.81%E +2.23%K +2.75%G +0.324%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.12%EV -13.85%E -3.90%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:26
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:26
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.24%EV +7.59%E +1.49%K +1.85%G +0.141%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -17.49%E -5.14%K -7.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -6.03%E -3.50%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.23%EV +5.69%E +1.14%K +1.42%G +0.081%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.60%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-19 18:38
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.70%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV +3.37%E +0.688%K +0.864%G +0.029%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.60%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:39
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:26
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:27
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.79%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.83%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -19.92%E -6.04%K -8.66%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-19 18:27
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:27
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:26
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.86%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV +1.26%E +0.263%K +0.332%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.51%EV -21.13%E -6.50%K -9.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:27
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.54%EV -7.66%E -4.54%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV +0.207%E +0.044%K +0.055%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.70%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:44
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.76%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.31%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:44
Suprabets🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.71%EV -0.848%E -0.180%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.83%EV -9.48%E -2.54%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 18:30
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.41%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.60%EV -2.96%E -0.643%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.99%EV -4.14%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-19 18:26
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.04%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -2.96%E -0.643%K -0.822%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 18:29
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -4.01%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:42
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.92%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.52%EV -4.01%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.74%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.45%EV -4.01%E -0.882%K -1.13%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.81%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:44
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.42%EV -4.39%E -2.51%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.16%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-19 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.93%E -2.83%K -6.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.82%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:38
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.47%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:39
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-19 18:26
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.86%EV -11.49%E -7.09%K -18.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.39%EV -15.06%E -4.30%K -6.03%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-19 18:44
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -12.58%E -7.86%K -20.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -5.07%E -1.13%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -16.28%E -4.72%K -6.64%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.10%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-19 18:40
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.88%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.20%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-19 18:35
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.50%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -7.18%E -1.63%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-19 18:39
1xBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.29%EV -3.29%E -1.86%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.99%EV -7.81%E -1.79%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -1.72%E -0.424%K -0.563%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:44
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.02%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.60%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 18:43
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -8.65%E -2.00%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-19 18:40
PlayUp🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.84%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -9.29%E -2.16%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.13%EV -12.64%E -3.51%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.04%EV -5.48%E -3.17%K -7.51%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -10.34%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.97%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:26
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.65%EV -6.57%E -3.84%K -9.26%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.99%EV -10.34%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -2.93%E -0.733%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.47%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -10.34%E -2.43%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.74%EV -5.36%E -1.37%K -1.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.21%E -4.89%K -12.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -11.40%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.00%E -2.40%K -3.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-19 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -11.40%E -2.71%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-19 18:27
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.89%EV -10.94%E -6.71%K -17.37%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.56%EV -12.45%E -3.00%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-19 18:26
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.92%EV -9.85%E -5.97%K -15.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.70%EV -13.51%E -3.29%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.38%EV -11.42%E -3.13%K -4.31%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-19 18:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.81%EV -9.30%E -5.60%K -14.10%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.05%EV -14.56%E -3.60%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.21%E -2.76%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-19 18:24
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:26
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:26
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:27
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.41%EV -7.12%E -4.19%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-19 18:27
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.85%EV -8.76%E -5.24%K -13.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -15.62%E -3.90%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.67%EV -7.78%E -2.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-19 18:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Matchbook◎1.76I 56.82%NM 56.43%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.83%0.7%2026-09-19 18:44
Smarkets◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.99%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.21%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.80%2.1%2026-09-19 18:44
Kalshi◎1.75I 57.14%NM 55.94%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.58%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%2.1%2026-09-19 18:27