L’École des cotesFrançais
Anderlecht v Leuven
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Anderlecht (Local)
Prévision 54.36%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -2.70%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.66%54.44%54.41%56.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.701.701.8063.69%58.91%58.82%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Leuven (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.02%5.00cote équitable
EV +1.10%
Avantage +0.217%
Kelly +0.271%
Croissance +0.003%
avec la cote maximale 5.05
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.71%19.97%20.00%21.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.694.705.0525.00%21.32%21.28%19.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 25.62%3.90cote équitable
EV -1.35%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.473%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.85
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.61%25.59%25.58%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.633.653.8532.26%27.53%27.40%25.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.59%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.15%EV +1.10%E +0.217%K +0.271%G +0.003% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -1.86%E -0.486%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.23%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.23%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.35%E -0.350%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.35%E -0.350%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.09%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 19:21 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -9.22%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.91%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.01%EV -2.91%E -0.599%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -10.85%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:38 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 19:37 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:05 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.22%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.88%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.18%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.44%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.72%EV -11.09%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 19:23 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.92%E -3.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.71%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -13.92%E -3.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.60%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.32%EV -10.85%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -17.92%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -11.60%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.66%EV -14.66%E -9.34%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.67%EV -19.92%E -4.98%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.67%EV -20.57%E -6.63%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |