La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Anderlecht v Leuven
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Anderlecht (Local)
Predicción 54.36%1.84momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -2.70%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
52.66%54.44%54.41%56.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.571.701.701.8063.69%58.91%58.82%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leuven (Visitante)
Predicción 20.02%5.00momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.217%
Kelly +0.271%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.71%19.97%20.00%21.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.694.705.0525.00%21.32%21.28%19.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 25.62%3.90momio equitativo
EV -1.35%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.473%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.61%25.59%25.58%26.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.633.653.8532.26%27.53%27.40%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.59%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.15%EV +1.10%E +0.217%K +0.271%G +0.003% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.26%EV -1.86%E -0.486%K -0.658%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.23%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.23%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.33%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.44%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 19:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.35%E -0.350%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.84%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.21%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -1.35%E -0.350%K -0.473%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.95%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.03%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| Everygame | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.68%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV +0.097%E +0.019%K +0.024%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.61%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| betPARX | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.68%E -5.17%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.21%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -2.63%E -0.692%K -0.939%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Suprabets | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.09%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.11%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.80%EV -6.99%E -1.92%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 19:21 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -9.22%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.08%EV -1.90%E -0.389%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.91%EV -2.16%E -1.20%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 20.01%EV -2.91%E -0.599%K -0.755%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 26.08%EV -4.68%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.91%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.75%EV -3.91%E -1.04%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.03%EV -10.85%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.14%EV -3.91%E -0.814%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.06%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.80%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.13%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 14:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.03%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 19:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.35%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.68%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 16:05 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.87%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.49%EV -6.22%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 19:38 |
| Paddy Power | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.98%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -4.91%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.33%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.24%EV -6.51%E -3.78%K -9.04%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.87%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.14%EV -5.91%E -1.26%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-02-28 19:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.29%EV -3.79%E -2.14%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.51%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.77%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.45%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 19:37 |
| BetUS | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| BetAnything | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.91%EV -5.42%E -3.11%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-28 19:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.57%EV -4.88%E -2.79%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.38%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.04%EV -7.75%E -2.15%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-28 18:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.53%EV -7.05%E -4.12%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.20%EV -5.19%E -1.40%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:05 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:19 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -7.91%E -1.72%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
| Sky Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 53.70%EV -9.22%E -5.52%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.88%E -3.79%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.18%EV -12.49%E -7.76%K -20.47%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.38%EV -9.91%E -2.20%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -15.44%E -4.68%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.41%EV -11.94%E -7.37%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -11.91%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.60%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-02-28 19:34 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.76%EV -9.77%E -5.88%K -14.80%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.52%EV -12.92%E -2.97%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 25.72%EV -11.09%E -3.19%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-02-28 19:23 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.24%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90%EV -13.32%E -3.08%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.86%EV -10.32%E -2.95%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 05:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -7.59%E -4.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -13.92%E -3.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -6.47%E -1.77%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 53.71%EV -10.31%E -6.25%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.61%EV -13.92%E -3.24%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.69%EV -11.60%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.32%EV -10.85%E -6.62%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.33%EV -17.92%E -4.37%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -11.60%E -3.36%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 52.66%EV -14.66%E -9.34%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.67%EV -19.92%E -4.98%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 26.67%EV -20.57%E -6.63%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 21.0% | 2026-02-28 19:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.99% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.46% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.55% | 0.3% | 2026-02-28 19:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.77I 56.50%NM 56.13% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.40% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47% | 0.7% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |
| Smarkets | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.75% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.62% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.63% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 19:39 |