Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Anderlecht v KV Kortrijk

Начало: 2026-09-03 18:30 UTC

Итог: Anderlecht 1–0 KV Kortrijk

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

54 букмекерские конторы (19 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Anderlecht (Хозяева)

Прогноз 67.49%1.48справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.81%
Преимущество -1.95%
Kelly -6.38%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.44

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
65.44%67.42%67.54%69.87%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.94%72.99%69.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

KV Kortrijk (Гости)

Прогноз 13.46%7.43справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.95%
Преимущество +0.756%
Kelly +0.867%
Рост +0.052%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.87

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
11.99%13.46%13.43%15.27%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
6.006.917.007.8716.67%14.46%14.29%12.71%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 19.04%5.25справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.97%
Преимущество +0.728%
Kelly +0.891%
Рост +0.035%

при максимальном коэффициенте 5.46

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
17.79%19.12%19.03%20.84%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
4.404.784.805.4622.73%20.92%20.83%18.32%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Anderlecht (Хозяева): 67.49%; KV Kortrijk (Гости): 13.46%; Ничья: 19.04%. Для исхода «KV Kortrijk (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 7.43. 12 букмекеров предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 7.87, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +5.95%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (54 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.87%EV -6.18%E -4.45%K -15.85%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.34%EV +5.95%E +0.756%K +0.867%G +0.052%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.79%EV +3.97%E +0.728%K +0.891%G +0.035%3.0%2026-09-03 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +5.01%E +0.642%K +0.737%G +0.037%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:20
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.18%EV +3.66%E +0.476%K +0.547%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.18%EV +3.66%E +0.476%K +0.547%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:14
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:14
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -2.53%E -0.349%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.47%EV -0.786%E -0.151%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.07%E -0.426%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.07%E -0.426%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.07%E -0.426%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:15
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.26%E -9.43%K -40.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.26%E -9.43%K -40.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -7.78%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:10
Suprabets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -8.45%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 18:11
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -3.48%E -2.44%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -11.58%E -8.84%K -37.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-03 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -9.56%E -7.13%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -9.56%E -7.13%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.98%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.08%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.94%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.21%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -19.22%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.48%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -19.22%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -19.22%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 18:25
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-09-03 18:20
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%0.9%2026-09-03 18:25
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.68%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.89%1.8%2026-09-03 18:25
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-09-03 18:20