Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anderlecht v KV Kortrijk

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-03 18:30 UTC

Score final : Anderlecht 1–0 KV Kortrijk

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Anderlecht (Local)

Prévision 67.49%1.48cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -6.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.44%67.42%67.54%69.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.301.371.371.4476.92%72.94%72.99%69.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KV Kortrijk (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.46%7.43cote équitable
EV +5.95%
Avantage +0.756%
Kelly +0.867%
Croissance +0.052%

avec la cote maximale 7.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.99%13.46%13.43%15.27%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.006.917.007.8716.67%14.46%14.29%12.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 19.04%5.25cote équitable
EV +3.97%
Avantage +0.728%
Kelly +0.891%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 5.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.79%19.12%19.03%20.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.404.784.805.4622.73%20.92%20.83%18.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Anderlecht (Local) : 67.49% ; KV Kortrijk (Visiteur) : 13.46% ; Match nul : 19.04%. Pour KV Kortrijk (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 7.43. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 7.87, soit une espérance positive de +5.95%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.87%EV -6.18%E -4.45%K -15.85%G +0.000%7.87I 12.71%NM 12.34%EV +5.95%E +0.756%K +0.867%G +0.052%5.46I 18.32%NM 17.79%EV +3.97%E +0.728%K +0.891%G +0.035%3.0%2026-09-03 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.30%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.99%EV +5.01%E +0.642%K +0.737%G +0.037%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.71%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:20
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.18%EV +3.66%E +0.476%K +0.547%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 18:25
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.98%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.18%EV +3.66%E +0.476%K +0.547%G +0.020%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.16%E -2.93%K -9.90%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.85%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.64%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 17:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.60%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-03 18:15
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:14
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 18:14
Coolbet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 18:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.98%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV +0.972%E +0.130%K +0.150%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-03 18:15
Pinnacle🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.24I 13.81%NM 13.29%EV -2.53%E -0.349%K -0.405%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.47%EV -0.786%E -0.151%K -0.187%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-03 18:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.07%E -0.426%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.07%E -0.426%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:25
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.86%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.07%E -0.426%K -0.495%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.41%EV -2.81%E -1.95%K -6.38%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.92%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 18:10
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.41%EV -4.83%E -3.43%K -11.79%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.01%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.88%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.38%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.74%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 18:15
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.62%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.04%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-03 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.22%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-03 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.38%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.19%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.43%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -12.40%E -2.70%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 18:15
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.26%E -9.43%K -40.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 67.81%EV -12.26%E -9.43%K -40.86%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.59%EV -5.76%E -0.823%K -0.960%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.59%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-03 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.56%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -7.78%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.83%EV -5.74%E -1.16%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 18:10
Suprabets🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.09%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.62%EV -8.45%E -1.24%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.29%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-03 18:11
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.24%EV -3.48%E -2.44%K -8.10%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.03%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 18:10
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.50%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.40%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.10%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.67%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.33%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-03 17:50
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -11.58%E -8.84%K -37.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -9.13%E -1.35%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.96%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-03 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.79%E -0.957%K -1.20%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-03 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.29%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 18:10
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:20
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -8.59%E -1.79%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-03 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.53%EV -6.86%E -4.97%K -18.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.55%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -9.56%E -7.13%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 66.19%EV -9.56%E -7.13%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.65%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -16.21%E -3.68%K -4.77%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 17:50
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.66%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.01%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.64%EV -12.49%E -1.92%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.70%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-03 18:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.98%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.23%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.78%EV -7.64%E -1.58%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-03 18:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.08%EV -10.23%E -7.69%K -31.01%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 13.94%EV -13.84%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -10.50%E -2.23%K -2.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-03 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.21%EV -7.53%E -5.50%K -20.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -15.86%E -2.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.06%EV -2.88%E -0.565%K -0.703%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-03 18:25
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -5.51%E -3.93%K -13.77%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -19.22%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -9.55%E -2.01%K -2.55%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 16:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.48%EV -8.21%E -6.04%K -22.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.07%EV -19.22%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.45%EV -6.69%E -1.37%K -1.72%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 18:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 65.57%EV -8.88%E -6.58%K -25.38%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.75%EV -19.22%E -3.20%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.67%EV -14.31%E -3.18%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 18:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-09-03 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-09-03 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.44%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.82%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.74%0.7%2026-09-03 18:20
Matchbook◎1.42I 70.42%NM 69.78%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%0.9%2026-09-03 18:25
Smarkets◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.68%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.42%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.89%1.8%2026-09-03 18:25
Kalshi◎1.43I 69.93%NM 68.60%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.76%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%1.9%2026-09-03 18:20