Language:English
WSG Tirol v Ried
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
WSG Tirol (Local)
Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.63%37.34%37.37%38.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.472.492.6143.48%40.43%40.16%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ried (Visit)
Prediction 36.13%2.77fair odd
EV -1.72%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.21%36.11%36.18%37.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.7242.55%39.74%40.00%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.509%
Kelly -0.697%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%26.55%26.45%27.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.443.403.7030.30%29.10%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 37.35%; Ried (Visit): 36.13%; Draw: 26.52%. For Ried (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -1.72%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -2.51%E -0.963%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -1.72%E -0.634%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%EV -5.86%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-10 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -4.76%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -5.86%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -3.89%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.01%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.34%EV -3.89%E -1.46%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.93%EV -5.88%E -2.33%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.64%EV -8.23%E -3.24%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.44%EV -6.66%E -1.89%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -1.88%E -0.509%K -0.697%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-10 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.33%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.22%EV -4.25%E -1.61%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-10 13:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 14:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.04%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.07%EV -12.20%E -5.02%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.63%EV -7.37%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.60%EV -15.09%E -6.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.63%EV -7.37%E -2.97%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.60%EV -15.09%E -6.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.06%E -2.33%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.34%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.65%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.21%EV -5.34%E -2.04%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.08%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.14%EV -14.01%E -5.89%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.78%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-10 14:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 37.27%EV -8.86%E -3.63%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -8.51%E -2.47%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -5.86%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.94%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.42%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -5.86%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -4.53%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-10 14:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -7.87%E -3.08%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.51%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.01%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -12.49%E -3.78%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -11.10%E -4.67%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -9.67%E -3.87%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.23%E -5.20%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -7.19%E -2.05%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 37.83%EV -13.35%E -5.75%K -10.11%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.82%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 26.35%EV -11.69%E -3.51%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-10 14:38 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -14.09%E -6.13%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -11.48%E -4.69%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -11.16%E -3.33%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-10 14:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -14.09%E -6.13%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -13.29%E -5.54%K -9.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-10 14:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.66%EV -14.09%E -6.13%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.86%EV -15.09%E -6.42%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.48%EV -9.84%E -2.89%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-10-10 14:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.67% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.67% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.67% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.67% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32% | 1.3% | 2026-10-10 14:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.40% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.76% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.84% | 2.1% | 2026-10-10 14:50 |