L’École des cotes

WSG Tirol v Grazer AK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-21 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prévision 37.79%2.65cote équitable
EV -1.36%
Avantage -0.522%
Kelly -0.847%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.71%37.72%37.97%38.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.442.452.6145.45%40.93%40.82%38.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grazer AK (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.87%3.14cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.326%
Kelly +0.476%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.27%31.91%31.78%33.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.832.803.1738.46%35.29%35.71%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.34%3.30cote équitable
EV -1.41%
Avantage -0.433%
Kelly -0.625%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.19%30.36%30.24%31.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.803.043.053.2535.71%32.91%32.73%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.38%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.27%EV +1.03%E +0.326%K +0.476%G +0.005%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.35%EV -7.17%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-21 15:49
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.36%E -0.522%K -0.847%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 31.34%EV -1.52%E -0.491%K -0.726%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-21 15:44
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.74%E -0.670%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -6.56%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:34
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.74%E -0.670%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -6.56%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 15:34
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-21 15:35
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.30%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-21 15:54
NordicBet2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.02%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.60%E -3.22%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 15:55
Betsson2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.02%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.60%E -3.22%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 15:35
Coolbet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -5.90%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.625%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-21 08:20
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-21 09:49
Bovada2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 15:49
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-21 09:15
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-21 12:11
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:29
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:29
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:29
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-21 15:29
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.30%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-21 14:50
Suprabets2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -6.65%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 31.48%EV -7.89%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -12.93%E -4.51%K -6.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-21 15:39
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 15:04
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-21 12:20
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 38.45%EV -12.32%E -5.31%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -9.80%E -3.46%K -5.36%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.90%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-21 15:39
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-21 12:15
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -11.19%E -4.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-21 09:15
Parions Sport (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-21 15:39
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-16 12:14
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-14 16:25
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 12:15
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 05:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 05:29
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-21 05:30
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.43%E -4.40%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.43%E -4.40%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-21 05:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:10
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:10
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:05
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-21 12:10
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-21 09:15
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-21 13:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -15.06%E -5.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-21 12:15
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -16.86%E -7.66%K -14.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.15%EV -17.13%E -6.59%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.85%EV -15.06%E -5.38%K -8.37%G +0.000%19.6%2026-03-21 15:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40%1.1%2026-03-21 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-21 15:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%1.3%2026-03-21 15:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75%1.6%2026-03-21 15:55
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01%2.4%2026-03-21 15:49