La escuela de los momiosEspañol
WSG Tirol v Grazer AK
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
WSG Tirol (Local)
Predicción 37.79%2.65momio equitativo
EV -1.36%
Ventaja -0.522%
Kelly -0.847%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.71%37.72%37.97%38.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.442.452.6145.45%40.93%40.82%38.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grazer AK (Visitante)
Predicción 31.87%3.14momio equitativo
EV +1.03%
Ventaja +0.326%
Kelly +0.476%
Crecimiento +0.005%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.27%31.91%31.78%33.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.602.832.803.1738.46%35.29%35.71%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.34%3.30momio equitativo
EV -1.41%
Ventaja -0.433%
Kelly -0.625%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%30.36%30.24%31.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.043.053.2535.71%32.91%32.73%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.38%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.27%EV +1.03%E +0.326%K +0.476%G +0.005% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.35%EV -7.17%E -2.34%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |
| Pinnacle | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.36%E -0.522%K -0.847%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 31.34%EV -1.52%E -0.491%K -0.726%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.55%EV -6.87%E -2.24%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-21 15:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.74%E -0.670%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -6.56%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -1.74%E -0.670%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.14%EV -6.56%E -2.13%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-21 15:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-21 15:35 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.30%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -4.39%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.02%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.60%E -3.22%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 15:55 |
| Betsson | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.16%EV -4.76%E -1.89%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -5.02%E -1.69%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.42%EV -9.60%E -3.22%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 15:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.31%EV -5.90%E -2.37%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -1.41%E -0.433%K -0.625%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-21 08:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-21 09:49 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -5.98%E -2.03%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -7.47%E -2.45%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-21 09:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -2.92%E -0.913%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-21 12:11 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:29 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 15:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -9.30%E -3.87%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -7.57%E -2.61%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-21 14:50 |
| Suprabets | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -6.65%E -2.69%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 31.48%EV -7.89%E -2.73%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.70%EV -12.93%E -4.51%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 15:39 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.21%EV -8.21%E -2.85%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.52%E -2.21%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -9.17%E -3.22%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-21 12:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.45%EV -12.32%E -5.31%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.52%EV -9.80%E -3.46%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 30.03%EV -9.90%E -3.33%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-21 15:39 |
| Bet Right | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 12:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -11.19%E -4.76%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-21 09:15 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.25%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.42%EV -10.76%E -3.84%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.33%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-21 15:39 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-16 12:14 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.19%EV -6.28%E -2.53%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.28%EV -4.44%E -1.41%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-14 16:25 |
| Sky Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 12:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 05:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 05:29 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.06%E -4.22%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-21 05:30 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.43%E -4.40%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 05:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -10.43%E -4.40%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.35%E -4.49%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.99%E -3.00%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-21 05:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.41%E -3.02%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -5.96%E -1.92%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 12:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -10.51%E -3.56%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-21 09:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.81%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.21%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.99%EV -12.02%E -4.15%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -13.08%E -5.69%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -13.95%E -5.17%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -15.06%E -5.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-21 12:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.00%EV -16.86%E -7.66%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.15%EV -17.13%E -6.59%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.85%EV -15.06%E -5.38%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 19.6% | 2026-03-21 15:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.19% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.40% | 1.1% | 2026-03-21 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.83% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.33% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84% | 1.3% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.75% | 1.6% | 2026-03-21 15:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.00% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.01% | 2.4% | 2026-03-21 15:49 |