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WSG Tirol v Grazer AK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
WSG Tirol (Local)
Prediction 43.51%2.30fair odd
EV +0.953%
Edge +0.411%
Kelly +0.722%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.19%43.40%43.58%44.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.152.152.3250.00%46.48%46.51%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grazer AK (Visit)
Prediction 28.61%3.49fair odd
EV +1.57%
Edge +0.443%
Kelly +0.617%
Growth +0.010%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.26%28.75%28.64%32.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.103.103.5536.36%32.21%32.26%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.87%3.59fair odd
EV -2.44%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -0.977%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.85%27.78%29.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.293.303.5032.79%30.39%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: WSG Tirol (Local): 43.51%; Grazer AK (Visit): 28.61%; Draw: 27.87%. For Grazer AK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.57%.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.19%EV -4.70%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.26%EV +1.57%E +0.443%K +0.617%G +0.010% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.55%EV -5.51%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.97%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.22%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.01%E -2.78%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.01%E -2.78%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -2.72%E -0.799%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -9.49%E -4.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.79%EV -9.49%E -4.56%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -4.15%E -1.24%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.61%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.99%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-24 14:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -5.58%E -1.69%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -13.59%E -4.38%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.46%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 28.57%EV -6.44%E -1.97%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.97%EV -6.90%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.05%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -7.01%E -2.16%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -2.44%E -0.698%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -8.44%E -2.64%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 43.10%EV -8.18%E -3.88%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.85%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.12%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.10%EV -11.67%E -5.75%K -11.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.22%EV -11.30%E -3.65%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.68%EV -14.99%E -4.91%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.36%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.85%EV -12.97%E -6.49%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -12.73%E -4.17%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.40%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.52%EV -12.10%E -5.99%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.01%EV -13.30%E -4.39%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-24 14:49 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -8.02%E -2.43%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.57%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -14.16%E -4.72%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -6.62%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -8.62%E -4.10%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -17.02%E -5.87%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-24 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.19%EV +0.953%E +0.411%K +0.722%G +0.007% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -12.97%E -6.49%K -12.97%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -17.60%E -6.11%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -5.23%E -1.54%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-24 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.28%EV -2.96%E -1.33%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -19.89%E -7.10%K -11.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -9.41%E -2.90%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -21.32%E -7.75%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-24 07:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -21.32%E -7.75%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -21.32%E -7.75%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.20%EV -4.27%E -1.94%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -21.32%E -7.75%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%EV -10.81%E -3.38%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-10-24 07:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.42% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-10-24 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.47% | 1.8% | 2026-10-24 14:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.11% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.65% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.24% | 2.6% | 2026-10-24 14:55 |