The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

WSG Tirol v Austria Wien

2026-11-08 13:30 UTC — Austrian Football Bundesliga

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

WSG Tirol (Local)

Prediction 39.51%2.53fair odd
EV -4.79%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.08%39.45%39.51%39.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.322.4146.51%43.31%43.10%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Austria Wien (Visit)

Prediction 33.62%2.97fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.985%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.48%33.65%33.65%35.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.692.702.8940.82%37.19%37.04%34.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.88%3.72fair odd
EV -0.561%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.208%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.56%26.90%26.84%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.393.403.7032.26%29.50%29.41%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: WSG Tirol (Local): 39.51%; Austria Wien (Visit): 33.62%; Draw: 26.88%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.72. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.70, with an expected value of -0.561%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.64%EV -4.79%E -1.99%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.06%EV -2.85%E -0.985%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.30%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -0.561%E -0.152%K -0.208%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 16:45
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -7.55%E -2.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 17:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 17:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -5.18%E -2.16%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.62%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 13:35
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.90%EV -5.58%E -2.33%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.69%EV -9.91%E -3.70%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.41%EV -5.40%E -1.53%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -4.19%E -1.47%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -8.62%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 16:24
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -9.23%E -3.42%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -3.25%E -0.902%K -1.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 16:45
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -7.16%E -3.05%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-11-01 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -8.34%E -3.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.62%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Betsson🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.83%EV -8.34%E -3.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.00%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -8.62%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 17:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.25%EV -8.34%E -3.60%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.36%EV -10.91%E -4.12%K -6.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.39%EV -7.28%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 17:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.66%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 17:20
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.66%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 17:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.66%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 17:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.54%EV -9.13%E -3.97%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -5.87%E -2.10%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -12.66%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-01 17:20
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -12.60%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -8.62%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 16:45
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.26%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.97%EV -12.60%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.31%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-01 17:25
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -11.11%E -4.94%K -8.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -15.96%E -6.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -16.69%E -5.38%K -7.95%G +0.000%16.7%2026-11-01 17:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.85%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 33.98%EV -13.27%E -5.14%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.17%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 16:24
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.63%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -12.60%E -4.84%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -12.66%E -3.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%14.7%2026-11-01 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -13.08%E -5.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -15.96%E -6.38%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -8.62%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-01 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.54%EV -15.06%E -7.00%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.70%EV -17.64%E -7.20%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.76%EV -11.31%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%17.6%2026-11-01 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.27%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.78%16.7%2026-11-01 16:25